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UK Labour Market (Mar./Apr. 2025)

The jobs market weakened further in the face of April’s rise in payroll taxes and the national minimum wage. But with wage growth still stuck in the 5.5-6.0% range and energy prices set to drive up inflation to 3.5% later this year, this probably won’t be enough to convince the Bank of England to diverge from its current pace of cutting interest rates once every quarter.

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