Skip to main content
UK Economics banner

UK Economics

This service provides detailed analysis and independent forecasts for the UK economy and financial markets, offering both rapid responses to new data and developments, and more in-depth coverage of key themes, current trends, and future developments.

The subscription to this service includes 3-5 publications a week, access to our online analysis and our economists, and the opportunity to attend our conferences, forums and webinars.

  • Authoritative research by proven experts.
  • Contrarian calls and thought-provoking analysis.
  • Rapid responses, concise summations, detailed analysis, & independent forecasts.

The Sunday Times names Capital Economics top UK economy forecaster

Our Economists Recommend

The latest data responses, timely analysis and in-depth insight

Global economy

Try for free

Experience the value that Capital Economics can deliver. With complimentary 2-week access to our subscription services, you can explore comprehensive economic insight, data and charting tools, and attend live virtual events hosted by our economists. 

Request your complimentary access

Key Forecasts

Main Economic & Market Forecasts

 

Latest

Q3 2023

Q4 2023

Q1 2024

Q2 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

2023

2024

2025

GDP (%q/q/y/y)

+0.2%(+0.6%)

-0.2%(+0.5%)

-0.2%(+0.1%)

-0.2%(-0.5%)

+0.4%(-0.3%)

+0.5%(+0.4%)

+0.5%(+1.1%)

0.4

0.2

1.7

CPI Inflation (%)

(+6.7) Aug

6.8

4.8

3.8

1.5

1.2

0.6

7.5

1.8

1.0

Unemp Rate (%)

4.3% Jul

4.3

4.5

4.7

4.8

4.7

4.6

4.2

4.7

4.3

Bank Rate* (%)

5.25

5.25

5.25

5.25

5.25

5.25

4.75

5.25

4.75

3.00

QE Stock* (£bn)

758

755

745

730

695

655

655

745

655

555

10-yr Gilt* (%)

4.45

4.45

4.00

3.88

3.75

3.63

3.50

4.00

3.50

3.00

$/£*

1.23

1.23

1.20

1.20

1.20

1.20

1.20

1.20

1.20

1.25

€/£*

1.16

1.16

1.14

1.13

1.12

1.10

1.09

1.14

1.09

1.09

Sources: Capital Economics, Refinitiv. * End period.

All UK Economics coverage

View list of all UK Economics coverage

Featured Economists