This service provides detailed analysis and independent forecasts for the UK economy and financial markets, offering both rapid responses to new data and developments, and more in-depth coverage of key themes, current trends, and future developments.
The subscription to this service includes 3-5 publications a week, access to our online research archive and our economists, and the opportunity to attend our conferences, forums and webinars.
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Main Economic & Market Forecasts
Sources: Capital Economics, Refinitiv. * End period.
UK Data Response
UK Economic Outlook
UK Economics Chart Book
UK Economics Focus
UK Commercial Property
Spring Fiscal Statement – Big political bang, smaller economic boost
The Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, provided more support to the economy than we had expected over the next few years in today’s Spring Fiscal Statement, but he could have gone further in 2022/23. Instead...
UK Economics Update
UK Economics Weekly
UK Economics Rapid Response
Chief UK Economist
Paul Dales is our Chief UK Economist, with overall responsibility for our UK Economics and UK Markets services. Paul joined Capital Economics soon after it was founded in 1999. He’s spent 13 years covering the UK economy, six years as a senior member of our US economics team and four years as our Chief Australia & New Zealand Economist. He holds degrees in Banking & Finance and Economics from Loughborough and London universities and the UK FSA recognised Securities Institute Diploma. In 2016, the Australian Financial Review judged him to be Australia’s economist of the year as “he made all the right calls in a market that most chief economists found hard to read”. In 2011, Paul was named Bloomberg’s US house price forecaster of the year. And in 2010, he was part of the US team that was named Wall Street Journal US forecaster of the year. Paul frequently discusses economic issues on TV and radio, and regularly writes articles for the London Evening Standard.
Senior UK Economist
Ruth Gregory is Capital Economics’ Senior UK Economist. She joined Capital Economics in 2015 and has 15 years’ experience as a professional economist analysing the UK economy. Prior to joining Capital Economics, Ruth worked as a UK economist at the CBI, Office for Budget Responsibility and HM Treasury. Ruth is a member of the Retail Think Tank which serves to provide a balanced, considered and unbiased view on what is happening in the retail sector and to develop thought leadership on the key areas influencing the future of retailing in the UK. She has also previously been a member of the Judging Panel for the Society of Professional Economists Rybczynski Prize competition. Ruth regularly presents to clients on the UK economic and financial market outlook. She comments on economic developments in the media and appears regularly on TV and radio. She holds a degree in Economics from the University of Bath.
Emerging Europe Economist
Nicholas is an Assistant Economist who has been with Capital Economics since September 2020 and currently sits on the UK team. In his time at Capital Economics, Nick has researched and written extensively on financial market issues, ranging from the outlook for Chinese equities to how stocks and bonds have historically performed in times of war. Nick has been frequently cited by the world's leading media outlets, including The Times, the Australian Financial Review and Reuters. He is a graduate of the University of Bath.