European Economics

European Economics Update

28 November, 2018

No deal Brexit hit to euro-zone would be manageable

Provided that it is reasonably orderly, a “no deal Brexit” would probably reduce economic activity in the euro-zone by 0.1-0.2% points next year, though the impact would be much larger for Ireland. The blow would be concentrated in Q2 and Q3, after which the economy should recover lost ground.

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