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RICS Residential Market Survey (Apr.)

The housing market shrugged off the effects of rising mortgage rates and the cost-of-living crisis in April as intense competition between buyers bid up prices further. However, with mortgage rates set to increase sharply over the rest of the year, the days of the pandemic house price boom are now numbered.  
Andrew Wishart Senior Property Economist
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UK Housing Market Data Response

Nationwide House Prices (Jun.)

Monthly house price inflation slowed in June to its lowest since last September according to the Nationwide, while the annual rate continued to edge lower. That is consistent with our view of steady deceleration through the year, followed by single-digit annual price falls in both 2023 and 2024. Real Estate Drop-In (6th July, 2022): Join our US Commercial Property team for this 20-minute briefing on why we think this is the market top – and how far we expect returns to fall. Register now.

30 June 2022

UK Housing Market Update

Cost inflation to ease alongside new home volumes

After reaching a record-high in June, we think that inflation in builders’ costs will soon start to ease. But even as cost pressures subside, construction volumes will slump as the housing market slows.

28 June 2022

UK Housing Market Update

Withdrawal of affordability test is a wise move

We suspect that the main reason for the hasty withdrawal of the Financial Policy Committee’s mortgage affordability test is that it was on course to become a severe constraint on many buyers’ financial firepower. If left in place, it could have led to a far larger house price fall than the 5% drop we forecast.

20 June 2022

More from Andrew Wishart

UK Housing Market Data Response

RICS Residential Market Survey (Apr.)

Rising mortgage rates not yet hurting demand The housing market shrugged off the effects of rising mortgage rates and the cost-of-living crisis in April as intense competition between buyers bid up prices further. However, with mortgage rates set to increase sharply over the rest of the year, the days of the pandemic house price boom are now numbered.The rise in…

12 May 2022

UK Housing Market Data Response

Halifax House Prices (Apr.)

In contrast to Nationwide’s measure of house price inflation, there was no sign of house price growth slowing in the Halifax figures for April. But with mortgage rates only just starting to climb to reflect the Bank of England’s ongoing rate hikes, house price growth will slow sharply later this year. UK Housing Drop-In (10th May 10:00 BST/17:00 SGT): Economists from our property team are hosting a 20-minute briefing to explain why we think UK house prices are heading for a fall – and how bad the fallout will be. Register now.

6 May 2022

UK Housing Market Data Response

Mortgage Lending (Apr.)

Unchanged mortgage approvals in March showed that the housing market remained buoyant throughout the first quarter. But the emerging trend of rising mortgage rates on new loans rising will only accelerate, which will reduce demand and lending volumes ahead. UK Drop-In (5th May 10:30 EDT/15:30 BST): Our UK Economics team are holding a special 20-minute briefing to discuss the latest MPC decision and what it means for their outlook for UK growth, inflation and BoE policy. Register now

4 May 2022
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