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Loan Prime Rates on hold but cuts still on the horizon

The Loan Prime Rate (LPR), the reference point against which banks now price loans, held steady in December. The one-year LPR was unchanged at 4.15% (both the Bloomberg consensus and our forecast were 4.10%), while five-year LPR remained at 4.80%. The LPR replaced the PBOC’s traditional benchmark lending rate in August and has since declined on three occasions, by a cumulative 16 basis points. It is published monthly and set based on quotations provided by banks.

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