Asia Economics Weekly Investment could be a future weak spot for the Philippines The Philippines should remain one of the region’s fastest growing economies over the coming years. But with signs that the worsening political climate is starting to discourage investment, economic... 27th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Sweden Econ. Tend. Survey (Oct.) & Retail Sales (Sep.) While the Swedish Economic Tendency Indicator edged down in October, the sharp rise in the consumer confidence index means that the survey now paints a more balanced picture of the economy. And with... 27th October 2017 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Market forces still aren’t boosting inflation Australia’s third-quarter inflation data highlighted that inflation is highest for the items where prices are influenced by government decisions and inflation is lowest for the items where prices are... 27th October 2017 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update One chart to watch for Argentine investors The performance of President Macri’s Cambiemos coalition in last weekend’s legislative elections has given a boost to reform hopes, but we can’t escape the feeling that investors are glossing over the... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update First rate rise a distant prospect as ECB extends QE While the ECB’s announcement that its asset purchase programme will now run until September 2018 and at a slower pace from January was largely in line with consensus forecast, its decision to keep the... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
BoE Watch MPC to press ahead with historic rate hike While it looks set to be quite a close call, on balance we think that a majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will vote in favour of hiking interest rates at next Thursday’s meeting, for the... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Why are London buyers on lower interest rates? Borrowers in London pay, on average, lower mortgage interest rates compared to the rest of the country. This reflects regional differences in LTV, as well as the fact that rapid house price growth has... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
US Employment Report Preview Payrolls set to come storming back from hurricanes We are forecasting a huge 350,000 rebound in payroll employment in October, as the impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma are reversed. But the bigger picture remains that payroll employment growth will... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Turkish MPC steps up hawkish rhetoric The hawkish tone of today’s Turkish MPC statement showed an overdue concern with high inflation (and expectations) and suggests that cuts in interest rates are off the agenda. That said, with... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
UK Data Response CBI Distributive Trades Survey (Oct.) The weakness of October’s CBI Distributive Trades survey was undeniably disappointing. But there are a number of reasons to take the sharp fall in the headline figure with a pinch of salt. 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack Consumers remain upbeat The latest data on retail sales during China’s National Day “Golden Week” period suggest that consumer demand remains strong. Despite a further increase in overseas tourism during the holiday... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update France investment activity trending lower French investment activity appears to have peaked and prime yield falls have slowed markedly. Whilst it’s likely to be true that this reflects a lack of large, prime stock, we expect 2016 to have... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Commercial Property Market Survey (Q3) The RICS Commercial Survey showed that both tenant and investor demand improved during Q3. However, within the totals, industrial demand is running well ahead of the other parts of the market. 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Time to switch to a producer price index A recent study from a government-appointed working group has reignited the debate over whether India should switch to a producer price index (PPI) to measure inflation at the early stages of the... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Sep.) Euro-zone money and lending growth remained strong in September and point to a continued healthy pace of growth. But they remain consistent with only limited inflationary pressure, suggesting that the... 26th October 2017 · 1 min read
