US Economics

US Economics Update

6 December, 2018

What to make of the inverted yield curve

The sharp flattening of the yield curve, which has now inverted between two and five years out, is consistent with our view that economic growth is set to slow significantly next year. We currently place the chances of a recession in the next 12-18 months at around 30%.

Access this publication and more, take our free trial subscription today.

Free Trial

Already a subscriber? Simply log in to view this article.

Save to Library

New Book

Making a Success of Brexit
and Reforming the EU

by Roger Bootle

"Outstanding - engaging - absorbing"
Daily Telegraph

Buy now on Amazon

Get the App

The Capital Economics apps are a great way for clients to keep up to date with our latest research.

Capital Economics AppsFind out more
We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. Read our Cookie Policy for more information.