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GDP monthly estimate (Oct.)

The weaker GDP figures for October seem to be mainly a reflection of the unwinding of some temporary factors which had boosted growth in Q3, rather than a significant slowdown in underlying activity. Nonetheless, there is little chance of a rebound in growth over the rest of Q4. As a result, annual GDP growth will probably still come in at 1.3% this year, the weakest since the financial crisis.

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