Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments.
The region recorded robust growth in Q3 but we think that tight policy, worsening terms of trade and US trade protectionism will keep GDP growth in Latin America below consensus expectations in the coming years. Fiscal risks have intensified, in particular in Brazil, and are likely to remain in the spotlight as governments across the region fail to meet their fiscal targets. This, combined with higher US Treasury yields and a stronger dollar on the back of Trump’s policies, will put further downward pressure on Latin American currencies in the next few years.
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