Global Markets

Global Markets Update

15 November, 2018

Three reasons why QT won’t drive UST yields up much

A reassessment of the prospects for interest rates will probably play a far bigger role than the Fed’s quantitative tightening (QT) in influencing Treasuries next year. Indeed, we expect the 10-year yield to fall back to 2.5% after the Fed stops hiking rates in mid-2019, which is sooner than investors envisage.

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