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Heading for double digit inflation and recession

There has been some good news this week – including July’s labour market data and the continued rise in gas stocks – but the big picture is still very bleak, not least because even after the steep falls this week, gas prices remain very high. And next Thursday, we expect the ECB to step up the pace of tightening with a 75bp rate hike, which will add to the headwinds facing the economy.

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