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Turkey Consumer Prices (Sep.)

Last month’s steep fall in Turkish inflation, taking it back into single digits, was flattered by base effects and the headline rate will rise again later this year. Even so, these figures mean that President Erdogan is likely to keep up the pressure on the central bank for further large interest rate cuts. We expect the one-week repo rate to be lowered from 16.50% now to 12.50% by early next year.

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