Because Canada emerged from the global financial crisis largely unaffected, many Canadians now appear to believe that the economy is somehow invincible. This level of hubris is disconcerting when housing valuations have lost all touch with the fundamentals, driven up by a massive surge in household debt. We've seen this story played out in countless other countries and it never has a happy ending. The now inevitable downturn in the housing sector will severely constrain economic growth over the next couple of years, as consumption expands at a more muted pace and housing investment shrinks back towards a more normal size.
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