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Heightened uncertainty should ensure unanimous vote

Recent developments are unlikely to have caused Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members to fundamentally change their view since they voted unanimously to leave rates on hold in February. Indeed, there is nothing in the data that should push the more hawkish MPC members into voting for a rate rise. Equally, we don’t think that the recent data support the recent speculation that the MPC is on the cusp of cutting rates.  

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