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Super-sized rate hikes rising up the policy menu

The case for frontloading tightening cycles in Norway and Sweden is getting more and more compelling, not least because prolonging the inevitable would probably just raise the risk of harder landings for the economies. We now forecast the Norges Bank to increase its policy rate to 2.50% by November and think that an unscheduled rate hike by the Riksbank before its 20th September meeting is the most likely outcome.

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