Australia & New Zealand Economics Update LNG to the rescue? A surge in LNG exports means that, despite a slowdown in the growth of iron ore exports, resources exports will probably continue to offset some of the ongoing falls in mining investment. That said... 6th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Is there any value left in Dublin offices? Over the past three years office capital value growth in Dublin has far outpaced other euro-zone markets. Yet with the vacancy rate at its lowest point in 15 years, and GDP set to average 4.3% over... 6th January 2016 · 1 min read
India Economics Update What to expect in 2016 In our first India Watch of 2016, we outline the prospects for India’s economy over the coming year. The lagged effect of earlier policy loosening and weakness in global commodity prices should... 6th January 2016 · 1 min read
EM Valuations Monitor Valuations set stage for outperformance of EM equities Emerging market (EM) equities fared poorly in 2015, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index falling by 8% in local currency terms and lagging behind the MSCI World Index of developed market equities for... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Saudi budget sets Kingdom up for fiscal squeeze Saudi Arabia’s budget for 2016 released at the end of last year sets the Kingdom up for a period of fiscal consolidation. The plans outlined will help to rein in the country’s large twin budget and... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold price to rally in 2016 despite US headwinds We expect further Fed tightening and renewed dollar strength to continue to weigh on the price of gold over the next year or so. Nonetheless, we still see scope for a partial recovery driven by a... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack A year of zero inflation December’s euro-zone consumer price inflation rate of +0.2% left an average inflation rate for 2015 as a whole of zero – the lowest rate since the single currency was formed. Headline inflation will... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Should we be alarmed by the rise in US corporate credit spreads? 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Nov.) House price growth is accelerating as a rise in demand has combined with low inventory levels to boost sellers’ bargaining power. Increases in interest rates will act to cool the market to some extent... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Nordic investment activity reached record highs in 2015 Commercial property investment in 2015 in the Nordics reached its highest level on record. This was driven by a large increase in the average deal size and strong growth in demand from foreign... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update New forecasts for Brazil In response to the deepening economic and political crisis in Brazil we are marking down some of our key forecasts. We now expect interest rates to be raised further, the currency to weaken a little... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Data Response Saudi Arabia GDP (Q3) The slowdown in Saudi GDP growth in the third quarter of last year, to 3.6% y/y, is a sign of things to come. With the recent budget confirming that a period of fiscal consolidation is now underway... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Chile IMACEC (Nov.) Economic activity in Chile picked up in November, but even so, it looks like GDP growth over Q4 as a whole probably didn’t accelerate from Q3. 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Dec.) December’s weaker-than-expected euro-zone consumer prices figures supported our view that bolder ECB policy action will ultimately be needed to bring inflation back to target on a sustained basis. 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response CIPS/Markit Construction PMI (Dec.) Last month’s jump in activity in the commercial property sector helped to reverse November’s dip in overall construction activity and suggests that the supply pipeline is continuing to grow. Yet the... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Can Thailand move out of the slow lane? Thailand’s economy has had a disappointing decade, partly reflecting the economic costs of prolonged political conflict. The military-backed government’s recent efforts to address Thailand’s... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
