Japan Economics Update BoJ may still have to step up pace of easing The BoJ left policy settings unchanged today, and may merely confirm that QQE will be maintained in its current form at the October meeting. However, we expect inflation to fall short of the Bank's... 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Is the recovery from the sales tax hike already over? A string of weak data in recent weeks has cast doubt over the strength of the recovery from the slump triggered by the consumption tax hike. However, it had always been unlikely that the weakness... 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update What will Fed rate hikes mean for Asia? EM assets sold off sharply last year after the US Fed hinted that QE was on borrowed time, with some of Asia's major economies getting caught up in the turmoil. Markets have become jittery again in... 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Economy Watchers Survey (Jul.) Today's Economy Watchers Survey showed that conditions continued to improve in July. Unfortunately, it also suggests that the recovery is unlikely to accelerate much further in coming months. 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Current Account (Jun.) While the current account balance worsened in June, we think it will remain in surplus in coming months. 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Fundamentals still encouraging for equities outside the US 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB inching towards QE The ECB gave no strong hints of imminent policy action this month as it waited to judge the effects ofpreviously announced measures and claimed that long-term inflation expectations were wellanchored... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Paris’ occupier demand outperformance last? Parisian office take-up grew by 55%y/y in the second quarter, but fell in three of the top four German cities, including a 45%y/y fall in Frankfurt. Nevertheless, the underlying weakness of the French... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Argentine default adds to the economy’s problems Last week’s default by the Argentine government is yet another unwanted headwind for the beleaguered economy. Fears of a re-run of 2002’s economic meltdown are overblown. But the messier that the... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack House price growth eases on back of cooling demand The moderation in housing market activity seen in recent months partly reflects the disruption caused by the MMR, and as this passes mortgage lending and demand will continue to increase. But concern... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russia’s import ban likely to backfire The economic impact of Russia’s decision to ban imports of some foodstuffs from the EU, the US and other western countries is extremely uncertain, but it seems likely that the biggest loser will be... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Low inflation should limit pace of rate hikes The continued strength of the UK’s recovery suggests that today’s vote to keep Bank Rate at 0.5% maynot have been unanimous and that a rate hike this year cannot be ruled out. Even so, the outlook... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Weaker Saudi credit growth could be here to stay The past few months have brought further evidence that credit growth is coming off the boil in parts of the Gulf. As we explain in this Watch, there are reasons to think that this could prove to be... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Market Consumer Snapshot (Q3 2014) Having slowed over the past couple of years, there are signs that consumer spending in some parts of the emerging world is starting to recover. However, the pick-up has so far been confined to EMs in... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & Spanish Industrial Production (Jun.) June’s small rise in German industrial production was a huge disappointment, andsuggests that activity in what has been the euro-zone’s strongest economy stagnatedin Q2. This will add to pressure on... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
