Japan Chart Pack Doubts creeping in about the strength of the recovery While the economy initially seemed to bounce back quickly from the shock caused by the consumption tax hike, recent data have already cast doubt on the strength of the recovery. Machinery orders have... 6th August 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Lower-rated US corporate bonds at risk from higher volatility 6th August 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Credit growth cools, but vulnerabilities persist The pace of private sector lending growth in most parts of Latin America has continued to cool this year, but the credit boom of the past decade means that vulnerabilities persist in a few places. At... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Chart Pack Recovery maintains strong momentum The 0.8% quarterly rise in Q2 GDP and the pick-up in the composite PMI in July suggests that therecovery still has plenty of momentum. Admittedly, growth has become increasingly dependent onthe... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Jun.) According to CoreLogic, house prices only managed to hold their ground in June, and have not seen a month-on-month rise since March. A loosening in supply conditions has helped to rein in house price... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Colliers/Real Estate Capital Pricing Survey The latest Colliers/Real Estate Capital survey showed further upgrades to forecasters’ expectations for growth in rents and capital values both this year and next. But these revisions still may not... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Retail Sales (Jun.) & Final PMIs (Jul.) June’s rise in euro-zone retail sales points to a further modest increase inconsumer spending in the second quarter. But more timely indicators, such astoday’s final PMI figures, suggest that the... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Fall in Egypt’s PMI doesn’t signal end of recovery The fall in Egypt’s PMI in July was disappointing in light of the recent improvement in the hard activity data. However, the bigger picture is that the economy is stronger than it was a year ago... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response CIPS Report on Services (Jul.) After a slightly softer run of official and survey data, the improvement in the CIPSservices survey in July provided reassurance that the recovery is not losing pace andraises the chances that the MPC... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Widespread strengthening in demand for loans The strengthening in mortgage demand evident in the Fed’s latest Senior Loan Officer Survey suggeststhat the housing recovery is back on track after having stalled in the first half of the year... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indian rates could be cut sooner than expected The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) left its policy rates on hold today, as expected, but with inflation on a downward trend there should be scope for the RBI to cut rates sooner than most analysts expect... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Weak Indonesian growth a challenge for new president A breakdown of today’s GDP data show weak domestic demand as the main factor responsible for the slowdown in Indonesia’s economy last quarter. The disappointing figures act as a timely reminder of the... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Australian rates to stay on hold for some time yet The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its policy rate on hold at 2.5% again today, and reiterated in its statement that it does not expect to make any rate changes in the near term. We think the... 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Emerging market credit spreads likely to creep up gradually 5th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Asia drives rebound in EM manufacturing According to the latest batch of PMI data, manufacturing activity across the emerging world strengthened in July supported largely by a continued improvement in Emerging Asia, in particular China... 4th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Romanian MPC flags up prospect of further rate cuts Governor Isarescu opened the door to further interest rate cuts in Romania at today’s post-MPC meeting press conference. Much will depend on inflation data for July and August, due to be released... 4th August 2014 · 1 min read
