CE Insights The Middle East conflict: Key insights - 9th March, 2026 We’re continuing to support client decision-making during the Middle East conflict with comprehensive but concise analysis and daily online briefings. All of our key analysis on this crisis can be... 9th March 2026
Event UK Drop-In: Bank of England March meeting preview – Rate cuts after the energy shock 12th March 2026, 3:00PM GMT Uncertainty around the duration of the conflict in the Middle East is keeping energy prices near multi-year highs and threatening expectations that the Bank of England will continue cutting rates t
Capital Daily Escalation and asset markets With the war continuing to escalate, this edition of the Capital Daily takes stock of how markets have fared so far and provides some thoughts on what might – and might not – continue to fare the best... 9th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily US stock market – down but not out Cracks in the US labour market have sparked a risk-off mood in markets, with Treasuries rallying and the S&P 500 sinking to its lows of the year. That said, the latter has been remarkably resilient... 6th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Markets Update EM assets have further to fall if Iran conflict intensifies While EM financial markets have started to stabilise following the recent selloff, they are vulnerable to a further deterioration in risk sentiment. Markets in EMEA appear most exposed due to... 5th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Chart Pack Europe Chart Pack (Mar. 2026) The jump in energy prices since the outbreak of the Iran conflict poses an upside risk to our inflation forecast and downside risk to our GDP forecast. However, even if prices remain at their current... 5th March 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Why Asia’s markets have been the most affected by the war East Asian equities – and Korea’s in particular – have been more sensitive to news about the war than most, but we remain cautiously optimistic about them over the medium term. 5th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Hope springs eternal in markets, even in a geopolitical storm The course of the war between the US/Israel and Iran remains unclear, but investors appear increasingly willing to look through the near-term uncertainty. 4th March 2026 · 5 mins read
Event Drop in: Asia’s macro and market vulnerabilities from the Middle East war 5th March 2026, 8:30AM GMT War in the Middle East has triggered a brutal sell-off in some Asian financial markets.
China Economics Update China’s rebalancing conundrum A major policy push to boost domestic demand would both reflate China’s economy and reduce its large current account surplus, which is a source of tension with other countries. But this looks unlikely... 4th March 2026 · 9 mins read
Capital Daily What to make of the latest surge in Gilt yields The latest surge in Gilt yields mainly reflects investors’ assessment of how the conflict in the Middle East will affect inflation and monetary policy in the UK rather than having much to do with... 3rd March 2026 · 4 mins read
Asset Allocation Update US market implications of a spike in oil prices This Update considers whether any lessons can be learned from the oil crisis of the early 1970s when it comes to the potential effects on Treasuries and US equities from the current conflict in the... 2nd March 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily The market’s reaction to the war, and what might be next The longer the US/Israeli strikes go on the greater the risk to both US Treasuries and equities, in our view. But the US dollar might continue to fare well. 2nd March 2026 · 5 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Feb 26) China’s economy expanded by just 3.1% in 2025. We expect growth to remain subdued this year too. While the recent change in US tariffs has improved the export outlook for China, we’re expecting less... 27th February 2026 · 0 mins read
Capital Daily A decisive move for Treasuries? Not likely The 10-year Treasury yield tried and failed to break meaningfully below the 4% mark repeatedly last year and is making its first attempt of 2026. We don’t think that it will happen this time either. 27th February 2026 · 4 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Labour feeling Green, AI optimism, near-term jobs risks The government’s loss in this week’s by-election may raise the chances of looser fiscal policy than otherwise, higher gilt yields than otherwise and a lower pound than otherwise. Meanwhile, the risks... 27th February 2026 · 5 mins read
