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Consumer Prices (Sep.) & Industrial Production (Aug.)

The rise in headline consumer price inflation in September to further above the RBI’s 2-6% target range challenges our view that the RBI will slow the pace of tightening. But with food and energy inflation now set to lastingly drop back and growth likely to come off the boil, we maintain our view that the central bank will revert to hikes of 25bp increments from December. 

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