India Economics
Explore India in data.
Our new interactive Macro Dashboard gives you the historical data and Capital Economics forecasts you need to track India’s economic outlook. Available for data subscribers now.
Our Economists Recommend
The latest key insights, in-depth analysis, and thematic research collections
Key Regular Reports
The latest editions of our Weekly, Outlook & Chart Pack
Key Forecasts
|
Main Economic & Market Forecasts |
|||||||
|
% y/y unless stated |
Latest |
Q1 2024 |
Q2 2024 |
Q3 2024 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
|
GDP |
+8.4* |
+7.9 |
+7.3 |
+6.7 |
+7.0 |
+6.5 |
+6.8 |
|
Consumer Prices |
+4.9** |
+5.0 |
+4.6 |
+3.9 |
+4.6 |
+4.5 |
+4.5 |
|
Current Account (4Q Sum, % of GDP) |
-0.9* |
-1.2 |
-1.3 |
-1.3 |
-1.5 |
-1.8 |
-1.8 |
|
Repo Rate† % |
6.50 |
6.50 |
6.50 |
6.25 |
5.75 |
5.50 |
5.50 |
|
Standing Deposit Facility† % |
6.25 |
6.25 |
6.25 |
6.00 |
5.50 |
5.25 |
5.25 |
|
Cash Reserve Ratio† % |
4.50 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
|
10-Yr Government Bond Yield† % |
7.13 |
7.05 |
6.95 |
6.84 |
6.75 |
6.75 |
7.00 |
|
INR/US$† |
83.5 |
83.4 |
82.9 |
82.5 |
82.0 |
78.0 |
78.0 |
|
Sensex |
72,665 |
73,651 |
74,716 |
75,781 |
76,500 |
82,500 |
78,000 |
|
Sources: Bloomberg, CEIC, Capital Economics, *Q4 2023; **March; †End of period |
|||||||
Latest India Coverage
Featured Economists
-
Mark Williams
Chief Asia Economist
Mark Williams is Capital Economics' Chief Asia Economist. He leads a team of macroeconomists covering the whole region, while paying particularly close attention himself to developments in China's economy and financial markets, and their implications for the rest of the world. Mark also works closely with William Jackson on the Emerging Markets Service looking at issues common to different parts of the emerging world. Mark has been with Capital Economics since 2007. He was previously Asia economist at HM Treasury, responsible for analysis of the risks and prospects in non-Japan Asia and prior to that lived and worked for several years in Taiwan. He speaks and reads Chinese and has degrees in Chinese and Economics from the universities of Edinburgh and Oxford.
-
Shilan Shah
Deputy Chief Emerging Markets Economist
Shilan Shah is our Deputy Chief EM Economist, with responsibility for researching and presenting on pan-EM themes as well as leading our India service. He joined Capital Economics in 2012 and was based in our Singapore office for several years before returning to London in 2022. Shilan has a Bachelors degree in Economics from University College London and a Masters degree in Politics from the University of Warwick.
-
Bradley Saunders
Assistant Economist
Bradley Saunders joined Capital Economics in September 2022 as an Assistant Economist on the graduate training scheme. He currently works on our Emerging Markets desk, where he writes primarily for the Emerging Markets Economics service. Bradley has formerly covered the euro-zone economies, commodity markets and financial markets. He holds a degree in Economics from the University of Bath.
-
Ankita Amajuri
Assistant Economist
Ankita joined Capital Economics in September 2023 as an Assistant Economist on the graduate scheme. She currently works on our Financial Markets team. Prior to this, she worked in the financial services sectors in Germany and in India. Ankita did her Masters in Quantitative Economics at the Goethe University in Frankfurt and has a bachelors degree in Computer Science.