BoE Watch Market turmoil to reinforce MPC’s dovish stance Last month’s MPC minutes and Inflation Report suggested that the Committee was in less of a hurry to raise rates than many had thought. And the recent market turmoil and commodity price falls are only... 3rd September 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude oil stocks rose last week due to a combination of lower refinery inputs and higher imports, which was only partially offset by lower production 2nd September 2015 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update China’s imports of gold recover as local equities lose their appeal Mainland China’s gold imports from Hong Kong and Switzerland recovered in July after a weak June. We expect total imports by China and India to pick up in the second half of the year as low prices and... 2nd September 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Market panic on China uncertainty surely overdone At face value the recent weakness in commodity prices, culminating in August’s slump, is consistent with a global recession almost as severe as that in 2008-09. Investor sentiment towards the sector... 2nd September 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Sentiment sinks further Commodity prices continue to ebb and flow at the whim of movements in Chinese equity prices and concerns about a “hard landing” for the economy. Although agricultural prices don’t have the same level... 2nd September 2015 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold and silver to end the year on the up The price of gold is vulnerable to one last dip if, as we anticipate, the Fed presses ahead with a first hike in US interest rates soon. We have reflected this risk in our end-Q3 forecast of $1,050... 1st September 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Focus may soon return to the Fed The relief rally in Chinese equities prompted by additional policy stimulus has turned global sentiment around, but a sustained recovery in commodity prices will probably require hard evidence that... 28th August 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update A look at China’s growing corn problem Chinese import demand has been a key factorshaping agricultural commodity prices over thepast decade or more. Recently the NationalDevelopment and Reform Commission (NDRC)and the Ministry of... 28th August 2015 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Is the value of everything really too high? To some, the recent sell-off in global financial markets was merely the beginning of what will soon become a much bigger downturn, because the valuations of many assets remain excessively high... 28th August 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Industrial commodities set for strong recovery into year-end The relief rally in Chinese equities prompted by additional policy stimulus has turned global sentiment around, but a sustained recovery in commodity prices will probably require hard evidence that... 28th August 2015 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Equity sell-off to reverse soon The recent equity market sell-off in Japan, which originated in China, does not reflect a major deterioration in the economic outlook for Japan. In fact, there are signs that Chinese demand for... 28th August 2015 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Glimmer of hope for investment While it is hard to describe any of the recent news on investment in Australia as “good”, the latest figures were not as bad as we had feared. In particular, the plunge in commodity prices does not... 28th August 2015 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update What do the new Indonesian regulations mean for tin prices? Indonesia, the world’s top exporter of tin, has introduced new regulations on the production and shipping of the solder metal. On their own, the new controls are unlikely to boost prices, but they... 27th August 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US stocks of crude oil fell sharply last week, but stocks of gasoline rose, despite more US refiners being offline for maintenance. 26th August 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Focus Making sense of the commodity slump Investor sentiment towards commodities has rarely – if ever – been more negative. However, the recent sharp falls in prices can largely be seen as the continuation of trends in place since 2011. The... 26th August 2015 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Nigeria: Structural issues, not oil prices, drag down growth Yesterday’s Nigerian GDP figures showed that the country’s economy slowed even more sharply than weexpected in the second quarter. While low oil prices have battered the economy, the recent figures... 26th August 2015 · 1 min read
