Skip to main content

Yield curve not the only recession indicator

For all the focus on the Treasury yield curve, other leading indicators of activity are not yet signalling that a recession is imminent. But their recent deterioration does suggest that the risks are rising and, even if a recession is avoided, they reinforce our view that economic growth is set to slow sharply.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to gain:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services

Get access