Does the US economy face a bank-real estate 'doom loop'?
New Capital Economics analysis shows economic risks around commercial real estate as banks try to stem deposit flight.
High-profile US bank failures have investors on edge about what could blow up next. With attention falling on commercial real estate, a new Capital Report analyses just how exposed US lenders are to the sector – and the risks that this becomes the next source of instability. This report will show you:
- What a 20% fall in commercial real estate capital values could mean for banks;
- The economic risks around a credit crunch as smaller banks try to stem deposit flight;
- How a worse-case scenario could see a rolling, years-long crisis develop for US banks.
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Listen to Capital Economics Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing discuss commercial real estate risks