Europe Economics Update What to expect from the TLTROs With the first of the ECB’s Targeted Longer Term Refinancing Operations taking place this Thursday,this Update addresses some of the key questions regarding their aims and likely effects. While... 17th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Sep.) & Euro-zone Labour Costs (Q2) September’s small fall in the German ZEW investor expectations index and thesharper decline in the current conditions index added to evidence that the recovery inthe euro-zone’s largest and strongest... 16th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade (Jul.) July’s euro-zone trade data showed that the region’s exporters continued to struggle,suggesting that the uncertain international environment was taking its toll andoffsetting the benefits of a weaker... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Limited room for growth-friendly fiscal policies While signs of pragmatism have recently emerged in the ongoing fiscal debate in the euro-zone, we think there is currently little room for fiscal policy to play much of a role in tackling low growth... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Euro-zone and Japan yet to escape from deflation threat Six years after the onset of the global financial crisis, there is still a threat of deflation. The biggestworry is in the euro-zone, where inflation expectations have slipped and the ECB’s actions... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Jul.) July’s rebound in euro-zone industrial production provided hope that industry mayfare slightly better in Q3 than it did in Q2. But with survey data pointing to acontinued slowdown, the sector’s... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update What are inflation expectations telling us? Measures of inflation expectations are unanimous in pointing to a growing risk of deflation in the eurozone.Meanwhile, the rise in inflation expectations in Japan suggests that the BoJ’s actions have... 9th September 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Gulf between US and euro-zone widens The US and euro-zone economies have diverged further in the past few months, as growth in the single currency area has stalled but the US recovery has stepped up a gear. Moreover, the gap between the... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP Breakdown (Q2) & German IP (Jul.) The breakdown of euro-zone Q2 GDP was a bit more encouraging than it might have been, but hardly presented a solid platform for stronger growth ahead. 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB still inching towards QE The additional policy measures announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) today are unlikely totransform the euro-zone’s economic outlook on their own and therefore look like another step alongthe... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Deflation threat raises pressure on the ECB August’s fall in euro-zone HICP inflation from 0.4% to 0.3% left it at its lowest rate sinceOctober 2009, when it was negative, and well beneath the ECB’s target of “below, but closeto, 2%”. What’s... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Fragile growth outlook to limit the rental recovery The euro-zone’s economic problems show few signs of easing and a rapid recovery in economic growth and job creation over the next few quarters seems unlikely. The good news is that the dip in bond... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Retail Sales (Jul.) & Final PMIs (Aug.) July’s fall in euro-zone retail sales provides further signs of a weakening inconsumer spending and, with the final estimates of August’s PMIs revised down,there is more evidence that the region’s... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Gulf between US and euro-zone widens further The global manufacturing PMI, published by Markit today, suggests that world GDP growth may pickup a bit further in the third quarter after rebounding in the second. But the imbalance between thefast... 2nd September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Aug.) Fiscal positions strengthened across most of the peripheral economies in July, although we havegrowing concerns about Portugal’s ability to meet its target for this year. (Chart 1). 2nd September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Aug.) & Unemployment (Jul.) August’s flash euro-zone CPI inflation data underlined the absence of price pressures in the currency union and should encourage the ECB to offer stronger hints of additional policy support to come... 29th August 2014 · 1 min read
