Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q1), Final PMI & Retail Sales The breakdown of Q1 GDP and more timely news on retail sales and the PMI provided little obvious support for the ECB’s view that the euro-zone economy is set to embark on a decent recovery later in... 5th June 2013 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Egypt's government finances need to be brought under control Ongoing political uncertainty has led to a sharp deterioration in the Egyptian government’s finances. The measures required to put them on a more sustainable footing are politically sensitive. But... 5th June 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Australia's growth to be dragged lower by mining slowdown Australia’s GDP growth remained slightly below trend in Q1. We expect growth to slow over the coming quarters as monetary loosening is unlikely to fully offset cooling mining investment. 5th June 2013 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Inflation Monitor (May) Consumer price inflation was probably little changed in May, but it is likely to pick up over the rest of the year as pork prices look to have bottomed out. 5th June 2013 · 1 min read
DM Markets Chart Pack US Treasuries come under fire The 10-year Treasury yield leapt by more than 45bp in May, breaching the 2% level. US government bonds were partly undermined by the minutes of the FOMC’s latest meeting, which suggested a number of... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russia: May's rise in inflation to postpone rate cuts The sharp increase in Russian inflation in May means that interest rates are likely to be left on hold when Russian central bankers meet next week. However, inflation continues to be driven by food... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response International Merchandise Trade (Apr.) April's encouraging 0.7% m/m advance in export volumes, following the previous month's much stronger gain, indicates that exports are holding up and that external trade may continue to buffer GDP... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
US Data Response International Trade (Apr.) The rebound in the monthly trade deficit to $40.3bn in April, from $37.1bn in March, was largely due to an unwinding of the distortion caused by the Chinese Lunar New Year Holiday. 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Apr.) House price gains of 12% per annum are clearly not sustainable. But in the short-term, news that the housing sector shows few signs of slowing will surely be something of a relief, following yesterday... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Revisiting Turkey's external risks While Turkish asset prices have regained some of their lost ground today, the outbreak of protests over the past few days has re-focused attention on the country’s economic vulnerabilities. In... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update No sign of a rebound in Latin America manufacturing in May May’s manufacturing surveys suggest that the Brazilian and Mexican manufacturing sectors both weakened further last month. But while Brazilian industry will probably continue to struggle over the... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update “Wealth effects” will have little impact on global consumption The 25% year-on-year rise in equity prices in advanced economies, combined with rising property prices in some countries, should provide a boost to household consumption. However, we suspect the... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM manufacturing downturn deepens The 25% year-on-year rise in equity prices in advanced economies, combined with rising property prices in some countries, should provide a boost to household consumption. However, we suspect the... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Construction PMI (May) and Mergers & Acquisitions (Q1 13) The CIPS/Markit construction PMI and the latest mergers & acquisitions data suggest that occupier market conditions remain testing. Accordingly, there seems little prospect of a rental value recovery... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Is the UK turning Japanese? The UK economy is at risk of following a path that is, if anything, worse than the ‘lost decades’ Japan experienced from the early 1990s. While the UK possesses some advantages Japan lacked, in some... 4th June 2013 · 1 min read
