UK Commercial Property Update Industrial rents on course for a strong rise this year Recent data suggest that occupier demand for industrial property is recovering at least as strongly and widely as for the other sectors. Although there are signs that developers are already planning a... 5th February 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indonesian growth unlikely to accelerate further Indonesia's economy accelerated slightly in Q4, but growth was still below 6% for the third consecutive quarter. With monetary policy set to remain tight, inflation eating into consumers’ purchasing... 5th February 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Should Sweden be worried about deflation? Sweden is less at risk from a prolonged and damaging bout of deflation than the euro-zone, despite the fact that CPI inflation is currently lower in the former. 5th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Federal budget improvement may not last The decline in the Federal budget deficit over the past few years has been impressive, but the longer-term budget challenges linked principally to the aging of the population have still to be resolved... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Focus Five questions (and answers) about the turmoil in EM markets The emerging world may not be facing a re-run of the late-1990s, as some have suggested, but theprecarious position of some EMs makes it likely that several economies will run into trouble overthe... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update More reasons to expect Mexican industry to outperform January’s manufacturing surveys add to the evidence that Mexico will outperform Brazil over the coming months. While Mexican manufacturing growth is on course to accelerate towards 5% y/y, there is... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Global Markets Focus Making sense of the equity sell-off The recent sell-off both in emerging and developed equities has a wide range of drivers, including worries about Fed tapering and the perceived risks of a “hard landing” in China. Nonetheless, our... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Is the growing market share of ARMs cause for concern? The growing take up of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) does not look like a long-term threat to the stability of the housing market. Even after recent gains, the size of the ARM market is small. And... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Don't panic The sharp drop in January's ISM manufacturing index has led to some speculation that the US recovery might be coming off the rails, particularly as it followed an unexpectedly weak gain in payroll... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
DM Markets Chart Pack A strong start to 2014 for US Treasuries One of the best-performing assets since the start of the year has been long-dated US Treasuries, with the 10-year yield falling back by some 40bp or so in January, to around 2.6%. This was largely... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Dec.13) The final CoreLogic house price reading of 2013 showed that house prices rose by 11% last year. But the year-on-year rate of gains softened in the closing months of the year and is likely to weaken... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Will deflation be the next stage of the crisis? The IMF’s Managing Director, Christine Lagarde, recently suggested that deflation is still a major risk for the world economy. Since her speech, there has been a sharp drop in equity prices... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Romania’s easing cycle appears to have come to an end Following today’s decision to lower Romanian interest rates, Governor Isarescu hinted that the rate cutting cycle may now have come to an end. Policymakers seem to have become concerned that they can... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Economics Update New PPI data won't predict CPI inflation any better The revamp of the producer prices data will provide a more comprehensive measure of pipeline price pressures, but it may not give us a greater insight into where consumer price inflation is heading. 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Commodities look to stronger GDP growth for comfort Commodity prices initially appeared to have shrugged off the recent sell-off in emerging market (EM) assets, perhaps focussing on the fact that Fed tapering depends on a continued pick-up in economic... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
