Japan Economics Weekly Is Japan facing a repeat of 1997-98? While some emerging market assets have seen a sharp sell-off in recent weeks, it is premature to speak of a general crisis sweeping the emerging world. In any case, Japan’s exposure to most of the... 10th February 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly The ECB is too sanguine about monetary problems The euro-zone’s difficult monetary conditions will add to the disinflationary pressures in the region. Admittedly, Mario Draghi suggested last week that temporary factors such as the AQR were... 10th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Five challenges for the new Fed Chair In her semi-annual monetary policy testimonies to Congress this week, we expect new Fed Chair Janet Yellen to emphasise that the weak tone of some of the incoming data and the turmoil in emerging... 10th February 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly All change again for the Inflation Report? The likely change to the MPC’s forward guidance alongside next week’s February Inflation Report could result in more changes to the contents of the Report. But the Committee’s inflation forecast... 10th February 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Inflation to fall in Indonesia despite currency weakness Bank Indonesia meets this week with the rupiah having so far come through the latest period of EM turmoil in reasonable shape. As such, it is under little pressure to follow other EM central banks in... 10th February 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Slide in Norwegian krone may not be over yet Although the Norwegian krone will fare better in 2014 than it did last year, the currency may well depreciate a little further. 10th February 2014 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Labour Force Survey (Jan.) The modest rebound in employment in January, which was not enough to reverse completely the slump last December, suggests that bad weather isn't the only factor depressing labour market conditions... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Data Response Employment Report (Jan.) The disappointing 113,000 increase in non-farm payrolls in January cannot be blamed on the weather but, nonetheless, with the unemployment rate continuing to edge lower, to only 6.6% last month, we... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update No evidence that weaker currencies are fuelling higher inflation Inflation was lower-than-expected across much of Latin America last month, which may help to dampen fears that weak currencies will fuel higher inflation. Despite this, another 50bp interest rate hike... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Focus Deteriorating supply prospects to support PGM prices Unlike the majority of base metals, the supply profile for the leading Platinum Group Metals (PGMs), platinum and palladium, is likely to deteriorate. South Africa and Russia account for the bulk of... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack First signs of occupier market stabilisation? Further rises in euro-zone economic activity and sentiment over the past few months have helped to maintain a robust level of investment demand for commercial property in the region. And in contrast... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production (Dec.) December’s German industrial production figures came as a bit of a blow to hopes that the euro-zone’s main growth engine was picking up speed. 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Industrial Production & Trade (Dec.) December’s figures on industrial production and trade offered mixed signals on the economy’s attempts at rebalancing. And this so-so picture is unlikely to change anytime soon. 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Is Turkey flirting with recession? It’s too soon to fully gauge what impact the recent financial market turmoil and sharp rise in interest rates might have on Turkish growth. But at first glance, there seems to be a real risk that the... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily US non-farm payrolls likely to rebound after weather distortion 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
