Europe Commercial Property Update Czech retail performance prospects heating up Robust growth in the consumer sector will begin to translate into retail rental growth later this year. This will spur investor demand and, ultimately, force yields 40bps lower by the end of 2016. 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Eqyptian pound has further to fall The Central Bank of Egypt has loosened its grip onthe pound over the past week and we think the currency probably needs to fall by at least another 5% in order to restore external competiveness... 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Metals prices to recover, despite headwinds We remain broadly positive on the outlook for most industrial metals prices in 2015-16 as we expect demand to pick up in the second half of this year and believe that some metals in particular may... 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Familiar constraints could stall rise in public investment There are signs that the government’s plans to ramp up public investment over the coming years are bearing fruit. However, it is early days and, looking ahead, fully implementing the plans will be a... 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Halifax House Prices (Jun.) A strong rise in June has pushed house prices above their pre-crisis peak according to the Halifax. With demand up on the back of rising employment and wages, and the stock of homes for sale... 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Turkey Ind. Prod. (May) & Hungary CPI (Jun.) The slowdown in Turkish industrial production growth in May, to 2.4% y/y, appears to be a result of strikes in the automobile sector. And, overall, the data still suggest that the economy expanded at... 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Economy Watchers Survey (Jun.) Today’s Economy Watchers Survey (EWS) suggests that industrial output is no longer falling, but a rapid rebound is not on the cards either. 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Why has Thailand’s export growth been so weak? Thailand has struggled with disappointing export growth over the past couple of years, with subdued global demand and real exchange rate appreciation only telling part of the story. Other factors such... 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Inflation picking up We expect inflation to have risen in June and for further increases in months ahead to quash any lingering concerns over deflation. 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Current Account (May) The current account surplus jumped in May, but we think it will fall again in coming months. 8th July 2015 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response International Merchandise Trade (May) The unexpected widening of the trade deficit in May is further evidence that, after contracting in the first quarter, the economy probably shrank further in the second quarter. In other words, Canada... 7th July 2015 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Is Puerto Rico the next Greece? Governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla's comment last week that "the debt is not payable" has raised fears that a Puerto Rico debt crisis could have a bigger impact on US financial markets than the crisis... 7th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Cost pressures set to keep German logistics rental value growth subdued German logistics occupier demand should increase over the coming quarters. Yet with the sector already facing pressure from rising wages, occupiers are set to take up space further away from prime... 7th July 2015 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Leadership rattled but not reversing course on reform The response to the equity market collapse shows that officials have been rattled by a clear policy failure. But it doesn’t signal an about-turn on reform. 7th July 2015 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Kenya: Another rate hike to shore up shilling The surprise move by Kenya’s Monetary Policy Committee to hike its key interest rate by 150bp today, for the second consecutive meeting, was a signal that the new Governor is serious about curbing... 7th July 2015 · 1 min read
