Latin America Economics Update An anatomy of Brazil’s recession The depth of Brazil’s recession has been blamed on everything from lower global commodity prices and tightening domestic credit conditions to poor infrastructure and excessive red tape. But this... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Household Borrowing Monitor (Aug.) The latest data suggest that gold buying from the official sector recovered somewhat in August but overall demand in the year to date remains subdued. That said, we think that the case for gold as a... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Are investors underestimating EM credit risks? Both the BIS’s latest report and our own risk indicator continue to highlight high levels of debt as a key risk in China, but we think investors are right to judge that the threat of a credit event in... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Deutsche Bank’s troubles unlikely to spark wider crisis Today’s relatively positive news about Deutsche Bank adds to the evidence that it is not the next Lehman Brothers for the global financial system and that its troubles are unlikely to trigger a German... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Aug.) August’s money and credit data suggest that the euro-zone economy has continued to grow at a decent pace in Q3. Nevertheless, the data suggest that inflation will remain well below the ECB’s target. 27th September 2016 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack Mortgage surge not the key driver of stronger credit Growth in long-term loans to households, which consist mostly of mortgages, has jumped since early 2015 as the property market has heated up. In contrast, growth in other loans has slowed over the... 23rd September 2016 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Is rising real estate debt a cause for concern? Data from the Bank of Japan show that bank lending to real estate companies reached a record high last quarter and, on some measures, property prices have been rising rapidly too. However, broader... 23rd September 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Will the Term Funding Scheme boost bank lending? While the Bank of England’s Term Funding Scheme (TFS) – which started this week – should prevent a sharp slowdown in bank lending ahead, it is unlikely to provide a meaningful boost. Indeed, while the... 22nd September 2016 · 1 min read
India Chart Pack Rollout of GST is edging closer Progress in implementing the Goods and Services Tax (GST) since the bill was passed in parliament in early August has so far been fairly smooth. However, there are still a number of sticking points... 21st September 2016 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Monetary Indicators Monitor (Aug. 16) The annual growth rates of all the monetary aggregates accelerated in August, with a particularly pronounced pick-up in narrow M1 money growth, but bank loan growth has slowed slightly. The latter is... 20th September 2016 · 1 min read
Capital Daily UK macroprudential policy is set to support credit supply 19th September 2016 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Firms continue to hoard cash overseas The cash held overseas by US firms has continued to grow at a rapid pace, rising to almost $2.5tn in 2015. The substantial tax bill most firms would face if they attempted to bring this cash home... 19th September 2016 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Monetary Indicators Monitor (Aug.) Negative interest rates are undermining the profitability of financial institutions asbanks have slashed lending rates. However, lower borrowing costs have yet to resultin stronger credit demand. 19th September 2016 · 1 min read
China Economics Update The view from the ground – Q3 2016 Banks, firms and households have all become more upbeat on the economic outlook recently, according to the latest People’s Bank surveys released over the weekend. In particular, households appear more... 19th September 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Household debt continues to rise The focus remained on the nation’s housing boom last week, with figures released showing that house prices continued to rise rapidly last month, even as home sales fell further in the aftermath of the... 16th September 2016 · 1 min read
Bank of Japan Watch Comprehensive policy review should deliver more easing The announcement that a comprehensive assessment of monetary policy would be carried out at the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting has triggered even more speculation than usual about possible changes of... 16th September 2016 · 1 min read
