Canada Data Response Teranet House Prices (Nov.) & Cap. Utilisation (Q3) Base effects caused annual house price inflation to rise again in November, but it will decline in the coming months. Meanwhile, the sharp fall in capacity utilisation in the third quarter is another... 12th December 2018 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Are risks brewing in Korea’s housing market? A surge in lending to the property sector and booming prices in the capital, Seoul, are unlikely to cause serious problems for Korea’s economy. 12th December 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Focus Record housing downturns in Sydney and Melbourne We estimate that house prices in Sydney will eventually decline by 20% from their peak and by 17% in Melbourne. This would make the downturn in each city the largest in modern history. The slowdown in... 12th December 2018 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack Dip in mortgage interest rates boosts housing demand A drop in mortgage interest rates in November led to a welcome boost in mortgage demand, which has risen to a five-month high. That should provide some support to home sales over the next month or two... 10th December 2018 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack Housing market slowdown to continue Our outlook for the housing market is weak. Admittedly, the recent rise in mortgage approvals and housing transactions offered a little relief for the market. But leading indicators suggest that those... 10th December 2018 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Halifax House Prices (Nov.) House price inflation on the Halifax index paused in November. With house prices set to stay very high relative to incomes and interest rates rising, we expect house price growth to stay sluggish over... 7th December 2018 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Surge in new home supply won’t crash house prices On past form the jump in the months’ supply of new homes to an eight-year high would be consistent with outright falls in national house prices. However, the existing home inventory is not far off... 6th December 2018 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Nov.) The drop in the 10-year Treasury yield over the past month has brought down mortgage interest rates. In turn, mortgage applications for home purchase have risen to close to a five-month high. Mortgage... 5th December 2018 · 1 min read
China Economics Focus China Property Handbook China’s property sector is crucial to the economy’s performance and to China’s demand for many materials. In this updated and expanded Handbook, we discuss the drivers of the property cycle and answer... 4th December 2018 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Focus Slowing home sales good news for the rental market Home sales are set to tread water over the next couple of years, which is good news for the rental sector. If Americans aren’t buying homes, many will look to rent one instead. Admittedly, the... 3rd December 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Nov.) We suspect the decline in house prices in the eight capital cities is going to continue and house prices will go on to eventually fall by at least 12%. 3rd December 2018 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Nationwide House Prices (Nov.) House price growth accelerated in November. But that didn’t alter the wider trend of slowing house price inflation. With house prices very high relative to incomes and interest rates on an upward... 30th November 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Budget surplus, looser lending restrictions The rapid decline in the budget deficit suggests that the Government may announce higher spending or tax cuts in next year’s Budget. And Labor has pledged to eliminate a number of tax privileges if it... 30th November 2018 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Oct.) House purchase mortgage approvals rose in October. But that did little to offset the weakness in lending seen over the last year. Moreover, there are few reasons to believe that the latest rise is the... 29th November 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack Inflation set to fall sharply The recent slump in crude oil prices means that the tailwind to consumer price inflation from soaring energy prices won’t be sustained. After boosting Australia’s headline inflation by 0.6 percentage... 29th November 2018 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (Oct.) Even after a significant upward revision to September’s estimate, the 8.9% m/m drop in new home sales in October was enough to send sales to a 2½-year low. But a drop in mortgage interest rates over... 28th November 2018 · 1 min read
