Climate Economics Update Lessons from Brazil’s first sovereign ESG bond Brazil’s first sovereign ESG bond arrived last month amid much fanfare, but the reality is that any “ESG premium” looked fairly limited to us. And we think ESG bond premia, in general, will likely... 4th December 2023 · 4 mins read
Chief Economist's Note When it comes to the green transition, follow the data not the rhetoric The COP28 jamboree in Dubai will produce a long list of climate promises from governments and corporate leaders, but these will be of little practical help to market participants attempting to track... 4th December 2023
India Economics Weekly Robust Q3 GDP, hard truths at COP28, RBI preview The activity data this week confirm that India’s economy is rude health and we now expect full-year GDP growth of 7.0% in 2023, with only a mild slowdown to 6.3% in 2024. A perennial downside risk to... 1st December 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Monthly COP-flation; declining deforestation; UK strike prices Whatever does or does not get agreed at COP28 in Dubai over the coming weeks, one way in which the event will set records is the staggering number of people in attendance. Meanwhile, the decline in... 30th November 2023 · 5 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly COP28 and OPEC+, Saudi secures 2030 World Expo While COP28 is getting underway in Dubai, attention may be drawn instead to events in Vienna today, where OPEC+ has reportedly agreed to reduce its oil production by a further 1mn bpd. This would... 30th November 2023 · 7 mins read
Climate Economics Update Putting COP-season into perspective With COP-season upon us once again, this Update offers a brief guide to this year’s spectacle. In short, with the incentives for countries to act in their self-interests as strong as ever, the... 29th November 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update Key insights from our new CE Climate Reporting Tools Our new set of CE Climate Reporting Tools covers all of the macroeconomic elements needed to navigate climate change and the green transition. This powerful and extensive collection of interactive and... 21st November 2023 · 0 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Saudi’s Civil Code, Saudi solar & nuclear, Egypt-Israel gas Saudi Arabia’s new Civil Code should help to remove some of the uncertainty in commercial law and marks another step on the path to raising foreign investment. Meanwhile, a new raft of solar projects... 16th November 2023 · 7 mins read
Climate Economics Focus Making sense of the ESG bond premium A lack of appropriate regulation may be one reason why ESG bond issuance has slowed over recent years, and why the premium that investors are willing to pay for ESG bonds over conventional bonds has... 14th November 2023 · 15 mins read
Climate Economics Update Approaching peak-pessimism for clean energy equities The underperformance of wind and solar equities since early 2021 has largely been driven by higher interest rates, which disproportionately affect the cost of renewables projects. But while the days... 2nd November 2023 · 3 mins read
Climate Economics Monthly Tusk tasked with decarbonising Poland; IEA optimism Donald Tusk and his pro-EU coalition are making the right noises about phasing out coal usage in Poland, although it remains to be seen how his plans will survive contact with politically powerful... 31st October 2023 · 6 mins read
Green Transition Chart Pack Green Transition Chart Pack (Oct. 2023) Our Green Transition Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. 2023 is on track to be the warmest year on record, but somewhat ominously the headwinds... 19th October 2023 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Evaluating energy transition risk to European offices Anticipation of legislation requiring minimum standards of energy efficiency is already impacting CRE values as investors price in transition risk and this pressure is likely to ramp up in the coming... 19th October 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update How green is AI? All else equal, our view that the AI revolution will lead to faster productivity growth in the late-2020s and early 2030s implies that greenhouse gas emissions will be higher during this period than... 16th October 2023 · 5 mins read
Climate Economics Update CBAM wouldn’t affect UK industries equally Becoming liable for the EU’s carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) would nullify any cost-reduction benefit from a lower carbon price for UK companies that trade closely with the EU. That said... 6th October 2023 · 3 mins read
Chief Economist's Note It’s all connected – why investors can’t ignore the global economy’s megatrends Last week we published ‘AI, Economies and Markets’, our in-depth report on the economic and market implications of artificial intelligence. The report and accompanying data painted a positive picture... 2nd October 2023
