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Clear divergences across sectors

Indicators suggest that growth has increased from 0.2% q/q in Q1 to perhaps 0.4% q/q or 0.5% q/q in Q2. The labour market continues to post solid jobs gains, suggesting firms are confident about the economic outlook. Further, positive real wage growth is supporting household spending. Given the improving economic outlook we expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at its August meeting.

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