Skip to main content

Europe Weekly: Trump keeps Europe on its toes

All eyes were on Washington this week as President Trump rung the bells for the next phase of a trade war with the EU and sidestepped European leaders with a possible Ukraine peace deal. While suggestions that the US will impose tariffs at a level that "matches" VAT in Europe should not be taken at face value, the uncertainties around our working assumption of a 10% universal tariff have certainly increased. Meanwhile, we think a peace deal in the Ukraine is still a long way off but any agreement may come with lower natural gas prices and increased defence expenditure.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.