Ethiopia: what to expect from Abiy’s next term

Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and his Prosperity Party will almost certainly win the election taking place today but the next administration faces a host of challenges. The government still needs to secure a sovereign debt restructuring and cope with lower aid flows. And unlocking faster growth requires further steps to open up the economy. The biggest threat, however, comes from the political environment amid simmering domestic tensions as well as the growing threat of conflict with neighbouring Eritrea.