Global Markets Update Copper prices could eventually boost equities in Chile and Peru Our bullish view on copper prices suggests that stock markets in Chile and Peru could outperform over the medium-term, but persistently low oil prices look set to be an unwanted headwind for equities... 5th August 2015 · 1 min read
Metals Chart Pack Negative sentiment weighs on precious metal prices The prices of almost all precious metals fell sharply last month as sentiment towards commodities in general plummeted. A further slump in Chinese equities and unexpectedly weak Chinese PMI numbers... 4th August 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update Obama and the EPA escalate the “war on coal” The rules set out by the US Environmental Protection Agency should ultimately serve to reduce demand for coal and put downward pressure on prices, even if there are lengthy legal challenges. 4th August 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Commodities under siege The prices of almost all the major commodities fell sharply last month as sentiment plummeted, despite a deal to bailout Greece earlier in the month. Industrial metals and energy commodities suffered... 3rd August 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Why have Turkish exports performed so badly? The weakness of Turkish exports over the first half of this year can in part be pinned on temporary factors including bad weather, strikes in the automobile sector and problems in major trading... 3rd August 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Relative calm after the storm Last week’s negative sentiment towards commodities spilled over into this week as the prices of most commodities fell further, albeit to a lesser extent. Even the upward revision to US GDP in Q1 and... 31st July 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Plenty of upside for the price of lumber The price of US lumber fell almost 30% between the start of the year and mid-May, weighed down by a poor start to the year for US housing starts. After a brief rally in June, the price has slumped... 31st July 2015 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Industrial metals weakness to hasten silver supply decline Silver might soon be in a shortage as low commodity prices prompt further capital expenditure cuts across primary and secondary mines. Silver is often mined as a by-product of copper, gold, zinc, and... 31st July 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update El Niño won’t be enough to reduce demand for gas The strong possibility of an El Niño event this winter could mean slightly lower demand for natural gas for heating and less disruption to offshore production. However, any impact from El Niño is... 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Weak demand will push palm oil prices lower With huge soybean supplies likely to push down the price of soy oil, we expect demand for palm oil to remain weak. Combined with high stocks, we think the price of palm oil will fall further this year... 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Chile Retail Sales, Ind. Prod. & Copper Prod. (Jun.) Activity data from Chile were stronger than expected in June but, as a result of softer figures for April and May, we still think that GDP growth in Q2 will be weaker than in Q1. 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US oil stocks fell last week by much more than expected. Oil production also took a sharp tumble as lower prices continue to take their toll. 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update High inventories & strong US dollar to wilt wheat prices The price of US wheat has been on a rollercoaster over the past two months. However, with high global stocks and a stronger US dollar, we think prices will trend down over the remainder of the year. 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Ruble slump concerns CBR, but easing cycle likely to continue The move by Russia’s central bank to halt its foreign currency purchases suggests that policymakers have become increasingly concerned by the recent slump in the ruble. But even so, the impact on both... 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Gulf markets weather fall in oil prices Equity markets in the Gulf have performed better than might have been expected this month, given the fresh fall in global oil prices. Meanwhile, Egyptian stocks,bonds and the currency have all fared... 28th July 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update China and US, not Iran, most important for oil prices Oversupply and the looming return of exports from Iran are undoubtedly weighing on oil prices. However, prices are likely to continue to be more influenced by sentiment towards commodities in general... 28th July 2015 · 1 min read
