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China’s revival is welcome but there is still a risk of relapse

Julian Evans-Pritchard, senior China economist at Capital Economics, said: “We doubt that such growth rates can be sustained for long. As service sector activity returns to trend, the room for catch-up growth will diminish. And the current strength of exports is likely to unwind over the coming quarters as vaccinations allow a return to more normal global consumption patterns. Finally, less supportive fiscal policy and tighter regulation of developer financing look set to weigh on construction.”
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