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Supply and Fed fears dominate

The prospects for supply have been the key driver of most commodity prices in the last few months. The main exception is precious metals, where sentiment has been undermined – perhaps excessively so – by expectations that the Fed will soon start to taper its asset purchases. Other notable developments in November included a sharp widening in the spreads between Brent and the main US crude oil benchmarks, both WTI and LLS. 

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