UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Mar. 26) The Iran conflict has increased uncertainty and pushed up interest rates, both of which will weigh on investment activity over the next few months. But, assuming the impact of the conflict is short... 19th March 2026 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update Q1 26 PREA consensus much more optimistic than us The Q1 PREA consensus for returns of 6.8% p.a. over 2026-30 is significantly above our call for returns of 5.2% p.a. Our view that appraised cap rates have further to rise is behind that difference... 12th March 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Iran conflict a small downside risk to US commercial real estate returns The increase in energy costs brought about by the conflict in Iran could hit commercial real estate returns either through squeezed occupier margins and therefore weaker property demand and rent... 11th March 2026 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF UK Commercial Property Consensus Forecasts (Mar. 26) The March IPF consensus survey, conducted before the Iran conflict, forecasted all-property total returns of 7.7% p.a. over 2026-30 which, aside from a downgrade to 2026, was essentially unchanged... 11th March 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Iran conflict a small downside risk for UK commercial real estate The increase in energy costs brought about by the conflict in Iran could hit commercial property returns either through squeezed occupier margins and therefore weaker property demand and rent growth... 6th March 2026 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack Q1 2026 All-property capital values have stabilized in recent quarters and although our CE Capital Value Lead Indicator suggests an acceleration in H1, we think sentiment will soften in the coming months and... 5th March 2026 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Stable yields mean steady returns Property yields saw no movement in 2025 and we expect that stability to continue over the next few years. We think the 10-year gilt yield will see a small fall to around 4.25% by the end of 2026, but... 27th February 2026 · 26 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q1 2026) Asia-Pacific all-property capital value declines eased further in Q4 to minus 0.8% y/y, reinforcing signs that the market is bottoming out. Looking ahead, however, elevated risk-free rates and muted... 26th February 2026 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q4 2025: Returns of 4.9% highlight modest recovery Total returns of 1.1% q/q in Q4 2025 were more-or-less unchanged from the previous quarter and helped returns for 2025 rise to just under 5%. That highlights the modest recovery in commercial real... 26th January 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Jan. 26) Stable yields over 2025 led to a gradual slowdown in capital value growth to 1.4% y/y by the end of the year. And with yields set to see little movement over the next few years, we expect total... 23rd January 2026 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Slowing demand means UK industrial property will underperform A weak economic outlook, increased efficiency of new buildings and worsening affordability are all weighing on demand for industrial assets, which has fallen to a 15-year low according to RICS. That... 15th January 2026 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Five key calls for US commercial real estate in 2026 We expect another slow year for investment in 2026 and a correspondingly poor (and below-consensus) outlook for total returns. On the bright side the improving apartments outlook will see it return 7%... 13th January 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Our key calls for 2026 The recovery in European commercial property values is set to slow this year given the soft economic growth backdrop and elevated interest rates. Our forecast for euro-zone all-property total returns... 7th January 2026 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update Weak total returns continue into 2026 amid tight yield spreads Asia-Pacific property markets have performed largely in line with our mid-2025 forecasts, with investment activity recovering only moderately and returns held back by falling capital values. We expect... 7th January 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Apartment Metros Outlook D.C. & Miami remain bottom of the apartment rankings The apartment market appears to have turned a corner, with the national vacancy rate stabilizing in recent quarters as new supply moderates, which we expect will restore some pricing power to building... 6th January 2026 · 7 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK commercial property returns to hit five-year high in 2026 As we expected, and in contrast to consensus, all-property yields saw no compression in 2025. But stronger-than-expected rental growth means our call for all-property total returns of 6.6% in 2025... 6th January 2026 · 3 mins read
