Global Commercial Property Update APAC property to underperform globally Poor performance in the US and APAC property markets is set to drag on the global recovery over the next few years. While strong economic fundamentals argue for a material improvement in total returns... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Office Metros Outlook US Office Metros Outlook: Miami set to be the big winner Office values have further to fall in all metros this year, but from 2026 we are expecting a recovery, with the southern markets showing the way. Led by Miami, those metros will see strong rent growth... 10th July 2025 · 7 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property Asia-Pacific capital values fell at a slower rate of 3.4% y/y in Q1, driven by smaller declines in Australia and Hong Kong. But looking ahead, we expect the upturn in both investment... 9th July 2025 · 0 mins read
US Commercial Property Apartment Metros Outlook US Apartment Metros Outlook: Houston apartment market set for lift-off The size and speed of the apartment market recovery will vary widely across the 17 metros we cover over our five-year forecast. Southern markets are generally set to outperform, backed by strong... 8th July 2025 · 7 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update Six key calls for Asia-Pacific Commercial Real Estate We are forecasting a slower recovery in APAC real estate markets than in any other cycle, the extent of which would also make the region a global laggard. Within the region, we also expect a further... 2nd July 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q2 2025) The gradual recovery in property values underway in Europe is unlikely to be pushed off track by tariff developments this year, but we think values still have further to fall in the US and APAC as... 2nd July 2025 · 1 min read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook APAC Commercial Property Outlook: Values to fall as region’s markets struggle to recover The outlook for the Asia-Pacific markets is relatively poor. We think higher-for-longer bond yields will limit the pace of recovery in this cycle globally, but this will be compounded by a weak... 27th June 2025 · 20 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook US Commercial Property Outlook: More capital value falls to come in all sectors this year We think the short-term outlook for capital values is poor, with valuations looking stretched across all measures. This does not appear to be reflected in other forecasts, meaning our forecasts for... 24th June 2025 · 22 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Europe Commercial Property Outlook: Insulated from tariffs but outlook for property values is weak European commercial property is relatively insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, but property markets are also not likely to see substantial benefit from more fiscal spending. In all, our... 19th June 2025 · 27 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Jun. 25) UK commercial property is on the road to recovery and lending to the sector has been strong in recent months. But with yields set to remain stable, the rise in capital values will be modest over the... 18th June 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Closing UK commercial property SDLT ‘loophole’ will weigh on capital values The Deputy Prime Minister has urged the Chancellor to close the commercial property stamp duty ‘loophole’, which could lead to an average increase in tax on property transactions of 2.0 to 2.5%-pts... 13th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Corporate bonds offer more proof of stretched US CRE valuations On the back of the MSCI and NCREIF indices reporting rising capital values in Q1 and our significantly below-consensus forecast views for the next two years, we are again re-evaluating our forecasts... 11th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property capital values edged up by 0.1% in Q1, marking the first increase since mid-2022. Meanwhile, appraisal-based cap rates were flat after compressing by a slight margin in Q4 2024. We still... 30th May 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF Consensus Forecasts (May. 25.) There were few major changes in the May IPF Consensus Survey despite increased economic uncertainty. Total returns at the all-property level are forecast to be around 8.0% p.a. over 2025-29, which... 29th May 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property insulated from tariffs but recovery weak UK commercial property is relatively well insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, and some sectors may even see small benefits. Rental growth has also held up better than expected. But with... 20th May 2025 · 26 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook US Housing Outlook: Market in need of rate relief that is not coming President Trump’s inflationary trade and immigration policies leave no clear path to the lower borrowing costs that the housing market desperately needs. A tariff-driven resurgence in inflation will... 2nd May 2025 · 15 mins read
