Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Household Spending Indicator (Jul. 25) With the Australian consumer springing back into action, the case for aggressive policy easing is becoming weaker. 4th September 2025 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Update Revisiting our Sweden GDP forecast Despite the strong rebound in Q2, Sweden’s economy has fared worse so far this year than many expected. We now forecast it to grow only moderately over the remainder of the year, before returning to... 3rd September 2025 · 4 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Middle East & North Africa PMIs (Aug. ‘25) The whole economy PMIs for August strengthened a little in the Gulf states, though the surveys still suggest that activity private non-oil sectors has softened in Q3. Elsewhere, while Egypt’s PMI fell... 3rd September 2025 · 2 mins read
India Economics Focus Inside India’s infrastructure drive The government’s post-pandemic infrastructure drive is helping to ease some of the bottlenecks that have previously constrained India’s economy, with particular success in developing port, railway and... 3rd September 2025 · 12 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia GDP (Q2 2025) Activity rebounded strongly in Q2, and for all the right reasons. The pickup in domestic demand raises the risks that the RBA won’t loosen policy as aggressively as we’re predicting. 3rd September 2025 · 2 mins read
Japan Economic Outlook Japan will continue to shrug off global trade tensions GDP growth will slow from its current above-trend rate to a more sustainable pace as external demand softens. However, with consumption growth still healthy and underlying inflation set to remain... 3rd September 2025 · 17 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM manufacturing gains some momentum The rise in the EM manufacturing PMI in August suggests that the sector accelerated in Q3, helped by external demand. But, overall, conditions in manufacturing remain pretty weak and may deteriorate... 2nd September 2025 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Update PMIs show signs of improvement in global industry The latest PMIs suggest that global industry has been fairly resilient in the wake of US tariffs so far and may already be past the worst. Meanwhile, goods price pressures remain much stronger in the... 2nd September 2025 · 2 mins read
US Economics Update The implications of the Court of Appeals ruling on tariffs In the wake of the Court of Appeals’ decision upholding a lower court finding that Trump exceeded his executive powers by imposing sweeping universal and reciprocal tariffs, this Update answers key... 2nd September 2025 · 6 mins read
US Rapid Response US ISM Manufacturing Index (Aug 2025) The bounce in the ISM manufacturing new orders index in August suggests that, although the manufacturing sector is still struggling, it may now be turning a corner. 2nd September 2025 · 2 mins read
Latin America Rapid Response Brazil GDP (Q2 2025) The slowdown in Brazil’s GDP growth to 0.4% q/q in Q2 was driven in large part by a softening in domestic demand, which is likely to continue over the coming quarters. And with the inflation outlook... 2nd September 2025 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: worries about financial risks overblown Worries that interest rate cuts in Korea are stoking financial risks look overdone. Property prices across most of the country are either flat or falling, while household debt is declining as a share... 1st September 2025 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Emerging Europe Manufacturing PMIs (Aug.) The manufacturing PMIs out of Emerging Europe remained at weak levels in August suggesting that industry continues to be a drag on the region’s growth. That said, other survey data suggest that... 1st September 2025 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Turkey GDP (Q2 2025) The much-stronger-than expected Q2 Turkish GDP growth figure of 1.6% q/q (driven by domestic demand) is likely to make the central bank tread cautiously and suggests that the risks to our hawkish... 1st September 2025 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China PMIs (Aug. 2025) The rise in the RatingDog services PMI provides further evidence that the economy regained some momentum last month, supported by faster growth in the services sector. But given weak domestic demand... 1st September 2025 (Updated 3rd September 2025) · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Poland walking a tightrope with loose fiscal stance The reaction in Polish financial markets to the government’s draft budget for 2026 outlined this week, which envisages a deficit of 6.5% of GDP, has been limited, but we think investors may be too... 29th August 2025 · 7 mins read
