Europe Economics Update Who will cope best with the strong euro? With global demand recovering pretty strongly, for at least a few quarters, the ongoing rise of the euro is unlikely to halt the external sector revival in its tracks. Nonetheless, we expect exporters... 21st October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spanish house prices set to fall much further The latest Spanish housing market data suggest that residential property prices are no longer falling as sharply as they were at the turn of the year. Nonetheless, we think the housing market downturn... 15th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investment market activity picked up in Q3, but rental values fell The first data for 2009Q3 showed a pick-up in European commercial property investment activity, accompanied by a picture of broad stability for initial yields. At the same time, rental values declined... 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rise in French industrial output is unlikely to support rental values On the face of it, the fourth consecutive monthly rise in French industrial output in August provides some grounds for hope that an improvement in industrial occupier demand might be imminent. However... 12th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB still some way from the exit The ECB’s cautious tone in the press conference following its decision to leave interest rates on hold for the sixth consecutive month supports our view that any future tightening of policy conditions... 8th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why have French yields risen more than Italian and Dutch yields? At first glance it seems a little surprising that initial yields in France are now above those in Italy and the Netherlands. Foreign investors’ share of the French investment market has fallen... 8th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Export outlook brightens The recent news from the euro-zone provides further signs that the economy emerged from recession in Q3. The data from the external sector have been especially encouraging. July’s sharp rise in... 6th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Oslo office take-up improves, but further rental falls still likely The rise in office take-up in Oslo is unlikely to signal an end to the occupier market downturn. But with the rental correction well advanced, Norway’s relatively strong economy should ensure that... 6th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Denmark 2009Q2 GDP points to prolonged occupier downturn The latest GDP data for Denmark showed that the pace of economic contraction accelerated in 2009Q2. Despite the weak state of the economy, however, rental values have held up fairly well so far. But... 1st October 2009 · 1 min read
ECB Watch Maintaining a supportive stance The ECB will leave interest rates at 1.0% at its October policy meeting and is unlikely to signal any significant change in its supportive policy stance for the future. The Bank will probably argue... 1st October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Can France maintain its lead? France is likely to give up its recent status as the euro-zones star performer in the next two years, losing ground mainly to Germany. But with household finances and the banking sector in a fairly... 30th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Industrial yields have risen, but differential over offices remains low Initial yields on European industrial property have risen further from their trough in mid-2007 than office and retail yields. This could be due to a sharper downward revision in investors’ rental... 28th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Sep.) Today’s broad money data revealed that there are still few signs that the ECB’s provision of unlimited liquidity to banks is boosting broad money and credit growth. 25th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Irish recovery remains a distant prospect Q2’s Irish GDP figures provide some hope that the economy is not about to go into full-blown meltdown. But a sustained period of positive growth remains a distant prospect. 24th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Irish and Greek retail rental values hit hard by downturn In our most recent Euro-zone Commercial Property Analyst (Vol. No. 2/2009) we forecast that Greece and Ireland would experience the largest falls in retail rental values. The agents’ latest data... 24th September 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Norges Bank becoming more hawkish With Norway now on the path to recovery, the Norges Bank has begun to prepare the ground for future interest rate hikes. But while the Bank will probably tighten later this year, we do not expect... 23rd September 2009 · 1 min read
