Precious Metals Update Hit to gold and silver prices from Fed hike to be short-lived In the wake of the strong US employment report we are reinstating the dips in gold and silver priceswe had previously forecast for the end of Q3. Nonetheless, we continue to expect both metals... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly Closer than it looks Downgrades to the Bank of England’s inflation projections in its Inflation Report last week were widely anticipated. Nonetheless, sterling’s tumble against the dollar and the euro after its release... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Capital Daily We think Friday’s sell-off in Treasuries has further to go 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Even the bulls are nervous about housing now Investors who have paid attention to indicators of growing imbalances in Canada’s hot housing market over the years won’t be surprised by recent warnings of potential housing corrections from certain... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack Stock of homes for sale stays at record low The rate of house price growth accelerated a touch in October, in part due to the shortage of homes for sale. And while consumer confidence slipped a little on the back of weaker economic growth... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Business investment not unusually low The current level of business investment is not unusually low, with firms opting to use funds to pay dividends or buy back equity instead. Nevertheless, that doesn’t mean the outlook for business... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Labour Force Survey (Oct.) The 44,400 gain in employment in October was stronger than anyone expected and an indication the economy is withstanding the oil shock better than previously thought. While the details weren’t quite... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
US Data Response Employment Report (Oct.) The much bigger than expected 271,000 surge in non-farm payrolls in October confirms that the weakness in August and September was just a temporary blip and, given the circumstances, a December... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly ECB can’t rely on Fed to do its work With the composite euro-zone PMI pointing to steady growth and hawkish comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen pushing the euro down to a four-month low against the dollar, further policy loosening by... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Brazil, Chile & Colombia Consumer Prices (Oct.) October’s rise in Brazilian inflation, to 9.9% y/y, was due in part to a fresh increase in regulated fuel prices, but it looks like the recent slide in the real also played a role. Elsewhere in Latin... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Is the renewed interest in bitcoin a serious threat to gold? The recent weakness in the price of gold has coincided with a surge in the price of bitcoin, prompting a few to suggest that the electronic currency is again challenging the precious metal as a... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Rising incomes remain key to China’s future food demand The end of China’s one-child policy raises a number of questions about future demand for agricultural commodities. However, we think that economic growth and rising incomes will remain the key... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Poland, the PiS and a populist shift Last month’s Polish election heralds a shift towards more populist policymaking under Law and Justice (PiS). In this Watch, we look at which areas are most likely to see a shift in policy and what the... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Industrial Production & Trade (Sep.) September’s trade and industrial production figures provide further signs that the UK’s economic recovery remained unbalanced in the third quarter. 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Global central banks continue to add gold to their reserves Global central banks increased their gold reserves in September, with China and Russia once again particularly active. We expect further official purchases to continue to be one of several factors... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Will the inclusion of the RMB in the SDR be a game-changer? Although the addition of China’s currency to the SDR basket may provide a short-term boost for the renminbi, its appeal as a reserve asset will be constrained by lack of convertibility and liquidity... 6th November 2015 · 1 min read
