Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (May) The renewed rise in the EC’s Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) suggests that the euro-zone recovery might gather a little pace in Q2. But growth will probably remain too weak to ward off deflationary... 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Dubai equities fall following upgrade to EM status Dubai’s equity market tumbled earlier in the month following the upgrade by MSCI from “frontier” to “emerging” market status. Stocks in Abu Dhabi and Qatar (which were also upgraded) fell too, but to... 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Apr.) April’s euro-zone monetary data highlighted the fragile nature of the region’s banks and should spur the ECB to ease policy further at its meeting next week. 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Danish GDP (Q1) The Danish economy started 2014 strongly. But continued household deleveraging means that growth this year is likely to be more sluggish than the consensus expects. 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Swiss GDP (Q1) Q1’s pick-up in Swiss GDP growth is a relief after a weak Q4 and suggests that the economy is still coping with the strong franc. But the threat of prolonged deflation will keep the central bank in... 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss GDP (Q1 14) Q1’s pick-up in Swiss GDP growth is a relief after a weak Q4 and suggests that the economy is still coping with the strong franc. But the threat of prolonged deflation will keep the central bank in... 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Danish GDP (Q1 14) The Danish economy started 2014 strongly. But continued household deleveraging means that growth this year is likely to be more sluggish than the consensus expects. 28th May 2014 · 1 min read
EM Valuations Monitor Strong rally in Russian equities unlikely to last Over the past month, the stock market has performed better in Russia than in any other country included in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, as tensions in Ukraine have eased. But the near-15% rally... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Weak euro-zone recovery will sustain populist anger Although populist parties will remain a minority at the European Parliament, the euro-zone’s weak recovery will sustain support for these parties, undermining national reform efforts across the region... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
US Data Response Durable Goods (Apr.) The modest 0.8% m/m rise in durable goods orders in April was largely due to an unexpectedly strong surge in defence orders. Indeed, excluding defence, orders actually fell by 0.8% m/m, almost exactly... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
US Data Response Conf. Board Consumer Confidence (May) The rebound in the Conference Board's measure of consumer confidence to 83.0 in May, from 81.7, is mainly a reflection of the improving labour market conditions, the upward trend in equity prices and... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller Home Prices (Q1 14) The first quarter Case-Shiller figures provide further evidence that the slowdown in the pace of house price gains that we have been expecting is now in train. It’s not implausible that the year-on... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Hungarian policymakers to keep monetary conditions loose Having cut interest rates earlier today, the National Bank of Hungary once again didn’t give much away about the outlook for monetary policy. The MPC appears to have become a little more dovish... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update De Montfort survey confirms improvement in credit conditions The latest De Montfort University (DMU) survey reports that lenders have now largely dealt with their legacy debt issues and that credit is becoming more widely available. However, the survey also... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update What might QE in the euro-zone mean for bonds elsewhere? It has been suggested that one important factor keeping US Treasury yields low is the prospect of a further loosening of monetary policy by the ECB, including some form of explicit quantitative easing... 27th May 2014 · 1 min read
