Japan Data Response Machinery Orders (Apr.) The inevitable plunge in machinery orders in April following March's surge does not alter our view that investment spending will continue to recover. 12th June 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Rally in Russia’s financial markets is probably coming to an end 12th June 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Finland struggling to re-orientate its economy Finland has gone from being one of the euro-zone’s strongest performers pre-crisis to one of the worst, following the demise of its key industries. Reforms to boost growth will take time and effort... 12th June 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Corn prices are likely to continue to fall this year Good growing conditions in the US and elsewhere recently have boosted hopes of another set of bumper harvests. If realised, this should lead to sharp falls in prices, especially of soybeans. 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
EM Markets Chart Pack What next for Russia's financial markets? We do not think the recent outperformance of Russia’s financial markets and currency will last. Indeed, the ruble has already dropped back slightly over the past week or so. There are three key... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update A weak first half for growth After a torrid 2013, financial markets across Latin America have enjoyed a decent run over the first half of 2014, with most equity markets up by around 5% and bond yields edging down too. However... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update More austerity pain to come for euro-zone The EC’s latest batch of country reports shows that the euro-zone has already achieved substantial structural reform and fiscal consolidation. But the region faces several more years of painful reform... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
US Fed Watch New projections may signal chance of earlier rate hike While the Fed is unlikely to alter its tapering plans or the main message of its forward guidance at the FOMC meeting due to conclude on Wednesday 18th June, its new economic projections may prompt... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Central and Eastern Europe: competitive again The pre-crisis boom years in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) led to an erosion of external competitiveness which is one reason why the recovery from the 2008-09 crisis has been so sluggish. But... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Focus Why Ghana needs IMF help The recent sharp widening of Ghana’s twin budget and current account deficits has fuelled speculation that the country may require some external help to stave off a fiscal and balance of payments... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack Sales and starts show fresh signs of life The most recent data have provided support for our view that the sharp drop in sales and starts seen over the past few months would prove temporary. New and existing home sales, as well as housing... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Workforce jobs (Q1) London office-based employment has surged by 7% over the past year. This shows that occupier demand still has a considerable head of steam and that City and West End rents should continue to rise... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Labour Market Data (Apr./May) Although employment is continuing to grow very rapidly, there still appears to be enough slack in the jobs market to prevent pay growth from picking up. 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why hasn’t Bucharest property benefitted from Romania’s recovery? Last year’s fall in Bucharest capital values seems at odds with Romania’s strong economic growth. But it does appear consistent with the large degree of spare capacity generated by the prior economic... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Malaysia's financial stability risks can be kept in check The rapid rise in household debt levels coupled with strong house price growth is a key medium-term threat to Malaysia. With the economy now in good shape, the central bank (BNM) has scope to act pre... 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Business Outlook Survey (Q2) Today's Business Outlook Survey points to a sharp drop in output this quarter, but firms still expect demand to recover in the second half of the year. 11th June 2014 · 1 min read
