Middle East & North Africa Economics Focus Five priorities for Egypt’s new government With Egypt’s presidential election now out of the way, policymakers’ attention has turned to reviving the struggling economy. In this Focus, we outline five areas which we think need to be addressed... 26th June 2014 · 1 min read
Africa Chart Pack Zambia turns to the IMF – could Ghana follow suit? As the tailwinds from the past decade’s commodity boom fade, several economies in Africa are losing their shine. Zambia remains the focus of attention – faced with widening twin budget and current... 26th June 2014 · 1 min read
China Economics Update The view from the ground – Q2 2014 Business and household confidence in China took a turn for the worse this quarter, but it is not at an alarmingly low level. Meanwhile, banks are reporting a decline in loan demand, particularly from... 26th June 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Assessing the evidence of bubbles in stock and property markets 26th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Indonesian rupiah back in the spotlight An easing of financial conditions across the global economy has given support to most currencies in Emerging Asia, which have generally been appreciating against the US dollar over the past few months... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Volatility versus value in the emerging markets We do not think that an end to the current low level of volatility in financial markets would necessarily dull investors’ appetite for riskier assets in the emerging world. In fact, our view is that... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
US Data Response GDP (Q1 Final) & Durable Goods (May) Although the bigger than expected fall in GDP in the first quarter has forced us to revise down our forecast for growth in 2014 as a whole, it doesn’t alter our view that the economy is fundamentally... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Ukraine’s economy remains fragile despite positive political steps A series of conciliatory remarks from both the Russian and Ukrainian authorities in recent days has given rise to hopes that tensions in Eastern Ukraine may start to ease. But despite promising signs... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response CBI Distributive Trades Survey (Jun.) Although June’s CBI Distributive Trades Survey was much weaker than expected, it indicated that growth in the retail sector remained strong in Q2 as a whole. What’s more, the outlook for spending in... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update The winners and losers from another oil price shock The escalation of violence in Iraq over the past week or so has led to concerns that unrest in the Middle East might trigger another spike in oil prices. As it happens, the impact on world oil markets... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack Capital values on track for 2014 rise of 9%-10% After a pause in April, the downwards drift in commercial property yields resumed in May. Combined with a rise in rents, this helped to boost capital values by 1.1%m/m. That pushed up the annual... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What is the outlook for Oslo retail rents? We expect household spending growth in Norway to be subdued by past standards as households grapple with exceptionally high levels of debt. Coupled with last year’s double-digit rental value increases... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Is the recovery sustainable? Provided that interest rates rise only gradually over the years ahead, the UK economy looks set for a prolonged period of strong growth which mends rather than exacerbates its existing imbalances. 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Can Italy really stop its debt rising? Contrary to official forecasts, Italy’s huge public debt is unlikely to fall over the coming years. Given the size of the economy, this will leave not only Italy in a very precarious position, but... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Update Rebound in inflation won't change interest rate outlook The recent pick-up in inflation, which mainly reflects volatility in energy and food prices, won't change the Bank of Canada's neutral view on rates. With exports and investment still underperforming... 24th June 2014 · 1 min read
