Asia Economics Update Korea: solid, but unbalanced growth Korean growth slowed in the second quarter of the year, but still grew by a healthy 0.6% q/q, helped by strong export demand. Domestic demand struggled again, however, and we expect Korea to continue... 23rd July 2026 · 3 mins read
India Chart Pack India Chart Pack (July 2026) The latest activity data suggest that India’s economy is slowing, but we think GDP growth should average 6.5% in 2026-27 - an enviable rate by global standards. Rainfall in the early stages of the... 22nd July 2026 · 1 min read
Asia Rapid Response Indonesia Interest Rate Announcement (Jul. 2026) Bank Indonesia left interest rates on hold at 5.75% today as we had expected (but in contrast to the consensus) and so long as tensions in the Middle East ease over the coming weeks, we think policy... 22nd July 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Chart Pack Japan Chart Pack (Jul. 26) Our Japan Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. GDP growth seems to have accelerated after the start of the Iran War and there are early signs that... 22nd July 2026 · 1 min read
Japan Rapid Response Japan External Trade (Jun. 26) Japan’s crude oil imports rebounded strongly in June but with the Strait of Hormuz now closed again, they will remain below pre-war levels for a while yet. T 22nd July 2026 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily China’s AI industry could yet lift its equities The advances in China’s AI sector and the authorities’ constructive attitude towards it are reason for optimism on the country’s equities, in our view, even if the apparent “national team” boost fades... 21st July 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Weekly Inflation, FX concerns make August hike more likely The stars appear to be aligning for the RBI to begin a hiking cycle at the next policy meeting on Wednesday 5th August. We learnt this week that headline consumer price inflation rose to an 18-month... 17th July 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Singapore boom continues, hawkish Bank of Korea Singapore’s economy remained strong in Q2, with GDP growth of 5.7% y/y driven by a manufacturing boom linked to AI-related demand. However, with inflation staying low, we expect the Monetary Authority... 17th July 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly Global views are shifting in China’s favour Public opinion favours China over the US in most major economies, according to survey data published by the Pew Research Center this week. That includes several countries that we classify as... 17th July 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly BoJ’s optimism will be put to the test The recent pick-up in crude oil prices vindicates the Bank of Japan’s concerns about upside risks to inflation. To be sure, the renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz could prompt the Bank to flag... 17th July 2026 · 5 mins read
FX Markets Update Despite near-term headwinds, we are upbeat on the rupee The rupee has been one of the worst performing emerging market currencies over the past year. But it now looks undervalued, and we think that a hawkish RBI combined with falling energy and gold prices... 16th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Economics Update What are the potential implications of Houthi attacks? Given reports of Houthi threats to close the Bab el-Mandeb passage to the Red Sea and to attack Saudi oil infrastructure, we are publishing an updated version of this note originally sent on 31st... 16th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update How quickly might Indonesia’s public debt rise? Indonesia is likely to break its 3% of GDP legal ceiling for the fiscal deficit this year. Still, given the low public debt level today, so long as the deficit stayed close to this level it would take... 16th July 2026 · 4 mins read
China Economics Update AI is now the main driver of China’s growth While headline growth disappointed, the detailed breakdown of China’s Q2 GDP data points to a sharp upswing in activity linked to the AI boom. On a q/q basis, over half of last quarter’s expansion... 16th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update How high will rates go in Korea? The Bank of Korea today kicked-started its tightening cycle by raising rates by 25bps to 2.75%, and the tone of the central bank’s statement makes clear that further tightening is likely. We now... 16th July 2026 · 3 mins read
