India Economics Weekly Capital outflows, India-EU trade deal, Budget preview Foreign investors have remained net sellers of Indian equities in the early stages of 2026 and it's likely that outflows persist for a while yet. That is unlikely to cause external strains but it will... 23rd January 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly Service sector under pressure, demographics worsening If the official GDP data are to be believed, quarter-on-quarter growth picked up in Q4, driven by stronger services activity. But this is at odds with other indicators, which point to weaker momentum... 23rd January 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly BoJ reluctant to cap government bond yields The Bank of Japan unveiled today that it had discussed tweaking the planned reduction in its bond purchase plan in response to the huge sell-off triggered by PM Takaichi’s campaign pledge to suspend... 23rd January 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Update Bank of Japan will lift rates to 1.75% by next year The BoJ turned more upbeat when it left policy settings unchanged today and there’s a risk that the next rate hike will come earlier than our current forecast of July. And despite the recent surge in... 23rd January 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Bank of Japan Meeting (Jan. 26) The Bank of Japan sounded more optimistic when it left policy settings unchanged today and there’s a chance that it could raise rates earlier than our current forecast of July. The Bank’s decision to... 23rd January 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Consumer Prices (December 2025) With underlying inflation price pressures remaining firm, we expect the Bank of Japan to resume its tightening cycle in the coming months. 23rd January 2026 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Markets Capital Flows Monitor (Jan. 2026) So far at least, there’s little sign that the geopolitical flare-ups this year have affected capital inflows to emerging markets. Indeed, inflows have picked up sharply in the last few weeks. Even if... 22nd January 2026 · 0 mins read
Asset Allocation Update How big is the threat to global markets from JGBs? Although further weakness in JGBs might have implications for financial markets outside Japan, we doubt the global fallout would be large for four reasons. 21st January 2026 · 5 mins read
Event Asia Drop-In: Indonesia's weakening policy guardrails – An update on macro and market risks 27th January 2026, 8:00AM GMT Concerns about the direction of policymaking in Indonesia have intensified since President Prabowo took office in late-2024.
Event Japan Drop-In: Takaichi’s election gamble – Fiscal risks, market consequences 9th February 2026, 8:00AM GMT Our Japan economists were online the day after the election to analyse the results, explore what they mean for Japan’s fiscal and monetary balance, and discuss the implications for Ja
India Chart Pack India Chart Pack (January 2026) After a very strong 2025, economic growth in India is likely to ease in 2026 in the face of punitive US tariffs. However, India will remain a relative bright spot in the global economy, thanks to... 21st January 2026 · 1 min read
Asia Rapid Response Indonesia Interest Rate Announcement (Jan. 2026) Recent falls in the rupiah prompted Bank Indonesia to leave its benchmark interest rate on hold at 4.75% for a fourth consecutive meeting today. The decision will ease fears, for now at least, that BI... 21st January 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Update How would Japan respond to a further surge in yields? Should JGB yields continue to surge, PM Takaichi may be forced to offset some of the expansionary fiscal measures announced recently with tightening elsewhere. However, those moves may not be seen as... 21st January 2026 · 4 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update Korea logistics will find momentum as supply pressure fades Korea’s logistics looks to be turning a corner, with net absorption comfortably outpacing new supply in 2025 and over the next few years. That will underpin rent growth averaging 2.5% p.a. over the... 21st January 2026 · 3 mins read