Latin America Rapid Response Mexico Interest Rate Announcement (Sep.) 26th September 2024 · 2 mins read
Latin America Chart Pack Latin America Chart Pack (September 2024) Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Growth across Latin America is likely to be weaker than most expect in the next... 25th September 2024 · 1 min read
Latin America Rapid Response Mexico Bi-Weekly CPI (Sep. 2024) The larger-than-expected fall in Mexican inflation in the first half of September, to 4.7% y/y, supports our view that Banxico will continue its easing cycle with another 25bp cut on Thursday. 24th September 2024 · 2 mins read
Event LatAm Drop-In: Mexico’s economy and markets as Sheinbaum takes charge 1727791200 Our economists think Mexico will be Latin America’s worst-performing economy in the coming years. Will its new president be able to change the narrative?
Latin America Economics Weekly Argentina’s budget, Brazil’s hike, new macro forecasts The Argentine government's ambitious 2025 budget plans unveiled this week are underpinned by very optimistic economic projects and meeting the 'zero deficit' target will be challenging. And at the... 20th September 2024 · 6 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Sluggish growth but stubborn inflation Tight policy and deteriorating terms of trade will keep growth across Latin America subdued and we think that the region will underperform other parts of the emerging world – as well as consensus... 19th September 2024 · 19 mins read
Global Markets Update Depreciation in Mexican peso may have a bit further to run Despite the peso’s recent rebound, we suspect that an unstable political and economic outlook means that it, and Mexican financial assets more generally, will perform poorly over the next year or so. 17th September 2024 · 4 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Amlo’s last hurrah, oil price drop, Fed easing and Lat Am Outgoing Mexican President Amlo’s controversial judicial reform has been one of the key drivers of the weakness in the peso and we think there’s still some downside risk to the currency, especially if... 13th September 2024 · 7 mins read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico’s constitutional reforms: Amlo’s parting shot? The approval by Mexico's Senate to a sweeping judicial reform has removed the last big obstacle to outgoing President López Obrador’s controversial plan to overhaul the justice system. In light of... 11th September 2024 · 7 mins read
Latin America Rapid Response Mexico Consumer Prices (Aug. 2024) The larger-than-expected fall in Mexico’s headline inflation rate, to 5.0% y/y in August, alongside the likelihood of a Fed rate cut next week, mean that Banxico is on track to lower its policy rate... 9th September 2024 · 2 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly New bosses for Pemex and the BCB The nomination of Gabriel Galípolo, an ally of President Lula, as the next head of Brazil’s central bank has raised concerns about the politicisation of monetary policy (and a dovish tilt). But... 30th August 2024 · 8 mins read
Latin America Chart Pack Latin America Chart Pack (August 2024) Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Most Latin American economies appear to have headed into Q3 with little momentum... 28th August 2024 · 1 min read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Powell opens the door to further dollar weakness The dovish speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole and the minutes of the FOMC Meeting in July released on Wednesday have left the greenback lower against all G10 currencies this week. This... 23rd August 2024 · 5 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Banxico, Chile’s current account, Brazil’s rate hike debate The data out of Mexico this week, alongside the minutes to the central bank’s August meeting, support our view that Banxico will continue its easing cycle in September. Elsewhere, the further... 23rd August 2024 · 6 mins read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico’s constitutional reforms: Amlo’s parting shot? The swearing in of a new congress next month gives Mexico’s outgoing president, Amlo, a one month window to re-start plans to pass controversial planned constitutional amendments. At the very least... 22nd August 2024 · 7 mins read
Latin America Rapid Response Mexico Bi-Weekly CPI (Aug. 2024) The fall in Mexican inflation in the first half of August, to 5.2% y/y, alongside clear signals from the Fed that it will start loosening monetary policy next month, supports our view that Banxico... 22nd August 2024 · 2 mins read
