Asia Economics Update Malaysia's policy tightening pause unlikely to last long Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) left the reference rate unchanged today at 2.75%, as expected. Our view is that the local economic upswing will comfortably survive the tough global conditions which are in... 2nd September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Swedish Riksbank continues to strike an upbeat tone The Swedish Riksbank’s decision to raise interest rates for a second meeting running reflects concerns that domestic imbalances may be building. Further hikes seem likely in the near term, but the... 2nd September 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Bank of Japan's latest gesture fails to impress The Bank of Japan's decision to loosen monetary policy further at an emergency meeting today simply brought forward the move that was widely expected to take place early next month. The economic... 31st August 2010 · 1 min read
ECB Watch Still pretty downbeat despite a strong Q2 The ECB is likely to maintain a very dovish stance at the forthcoming meeting. Admittedly, recent positive data might have led the Bank to revise up its growth forecast for 2010. But the slowdown in... 26th August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Strong growth in the Philippines to bring rate hikes soon Q2 GDP in the Philippines came in stronger than even our above-consensus forecast. Domestic demand will probably stay strong and should offset the fading support from foreign conditions and inventory... 26th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Aug.) The latest money figures add to evidence that annual credit growth is picking up. But with credit conditions still tight and many peripheral banks still looking vulnerable, the ECB will need to... 26th August 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Markets still overestimating the pace of tightening 23rd August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Sri Lankan central bank continues to focus on growth In a surprise move, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) cut its reverse repo rate earlier today. Inflation has continued to slow while market interest rates have not come down as much as was... 20th August 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Policymakers to look through any food price spike (Aug 10) Emerging Europe Central Bank Watch 1 Aug. 2010 EMERGING EUROPE CENTRAL BANK WATCH Economies in Emerging Europe are more vulnerable than those in the West to a spike in wheat prices following recent... 20th August 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response MPC Minutes (Aug.) The minutes of August’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting suggested that policy is unlikely to change – in either direction – for some time yet. But we still think that a further policy... 18th August 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response MPC Minutes (Aug.) The minutes of August’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting suggested that policy is unlikely to change – in either direction – for some time yet. But we still think that a further policy... 18th August 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Is QE finally working? The MPCs preferred measure of the money supply has recently started to grow at the rates the Committee was aiming for when it began its policy of quantitative easing (QE). However, we would be wary of... 17th August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India's Reserve Bank tightening still has far to go Recent India data show that inflation pressures have eased while the gain in industrial production has slowed sharply. External risks have climbed too. Nevertheless, non-food inflation is unlikely to... 16th August 2010 · 1 min read
