Asia Economics Update Vietnam should compromise on growth and target stability September data and Q3 GDP published over the last few days show that the economy in Vietnam is picking up speed. This contrasts with just about everywhere else in ASEAN where growth is losing rather... 27th September 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Australia's cash rate set to rise in October Commentary from the Reserve Bank (RBA) over recent days makes it clear that Australia’s cash rate will move up again soon. Accordingly, we have brought forward our forecast and now expect a 25bp hike... 27th September 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Czech rates on hold, still in no rush to tighten The Czech National Bank (CNB) kept interest rates unchanged at 0.75% earlier today, as expected. But the news that one Board member voted for a rate hike will lead to much debate over the future pace... 23rd September 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response MPC Minutes (Sep.) The Minutes of September’s MPC meeting suggested that the arguments proposed by doves on the Committee are gaining greater currency with the other members. The chances of additional monetary policy... 22nd September 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response MPC Minutes (Sep.) The Minutes of September’s MPC meeting suggested that the arguments proposed by doves on the Committee are gaining greater currency with the other members. The chances of additional monetary policy... 22nd September 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Still in no rush to tighten (Sep 10) Growth in some economies in the region is starting to look impressive but underlying inflation pressures remain benign and concerns over the durability of the global recovery will keep policymakers... 20th September 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Treading carefully After a rapid rebound from last year’s recession, it seems that growth in Latin America is now starting to ease to a more sustainable pace. Monetary tightening has further to run in Chile and Peru... 20th September 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Will intervention work? There has been much fruitless speculation over whether the Japanese authorities want the yen to fall back sharply or just want to see it stabilise. We do not believe there is any such “grand plan”... 20th September 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Chile: More interest rate hikes to come in the near-term The Central Bank of Chile (CBC) last night hiked interest rates by 50bps to 2.5%, as expected. In the near-term, the strong pace of growth means that policymakers will probably continue to raise rates... 17th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Cautious SNB won't hike rates for some time yet Fears that domestic price pressures might prompt the Swiss National Bank to tighten monetary policy proved unfounded today as it left its interest rate target at 0.25%. The Bank’s tone was gloomier... 16th September 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India's Reserve Bank set to tighten further The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today raised the repo rate by 25bp, which was in line with expectations. It lifted the reverse repo rate by 50bp as well, which surprised the consensus but matched our... 16th September 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update New Zealand's monetary tightening on hold into 2011 The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) today kept policy rates on hold at 3.0%, as expected. The aftermath of the earthquake will inevitably cause some disruption in coming months but the RBNZ even... 16th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB's unconventional support is still crucial The recent pick-up in ECB bond purchases has been very small when compared to earlier acquisitions or to the size of the euro-zone economy. Meanwhile, its lending to commercial banks in the region as... 16th September 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Colombia: BANREP intervention to stabilise peso, for now The Central Bank of Colombia (BANREP) this afternoon announced that it will resume market intervention to stem the appreciation of the peso. History shows that this may be successful in preventing the... 15th September 2010 · 1 min read
